NGVC
HoldPremium GrowerNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. · Consumer Defensive · United States · $725M cap · $3.7M/day traded
$30.12 -1.1% · close 28 Oct · scored 29 Oct
StockRank down 1.0 since 28 Oct.
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
As of 29 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) is 60/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 61, Value 39, Momentum 54, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
ABOUT NATURAL GROCERS BY VITAMIN COTTAGE, INC.
Read
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. is a specialty retailer of natural and organic groceries, dietary supplements, and body care products. The company maintains a distinct competitive position by enforcing strict product standards, including selling only 100% USDA-certified organic produce and pasture-raised dairy. It operates as a highly differentiated, niche grocery chain with a strong regional presence in the Western and Midwestern United States.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.1B | 1.1B | 1.2B | 1.3B | 6.9% | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.4B | 3.9% |
| EPS | 0.94 | 1.02 | 1.49 | 2.02 | 29.0% | 2.05 | 2.13 | 2.35 | 7.8% |
| Shares | 22.7M | 22.7M | 22.9M | 23.0M | +1.2% | 23.0M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 393.4M | 370.2M | 346.5M | 332.0M | -5.5% | 322.7M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 155.8M | 170.8M | 174.3M | 212.4M | 10.9% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 39.7M | 64.6M | 73.8M | 55.3M | 11.7% | 70.7M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -31.1M | -38.0M | -38.6M | -31.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -20.2M | -20.4M | -44.6M | -16.1M | — | — | — | — | — |
30% above its 52-week low and back above a rising 50-day average since 26 Oct 2026.
Calmer than 52% of stocks we rank over the past year (41% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of NGVC are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NGVC | Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.(you) | $725M | 60 | Hold |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market, Inc. | $668M | 73 | Buy |
| WMK | Weis Markets, Inc. | $1.8B | 55 | Hold |
| YSWY | Yesway, Inc. | $768M | 37 | Hold |
| IMKTA | Ingles Markets, Incorporated | $1.7B | 67 | Buy |
| GO | Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. | $1.3B | 40 | Hold |
| SFM | Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. | $6.2B | 53 | Hold |
| DNUT | Krispy Kreme, Inc. | $489M | 15 | Strong Sell |
| ACI | Albertsons Companies, Inc. | $6.8B | 29 | Sell |
| KR | The Kroger Co. | $39.4B | 50 | Hold |
Peer medians: ROE 10.0% · P/E 22.0x · Gross margin 35.0%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.