NTR
Strong BuyFull HouseAI neutralNutrien Ltd. · Basic Materials · Canada · $35.9B cap · $180.4M/day traded
$68.00 +0.8% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
Report expected 4 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has fallen 2.8% over the last 11 weeks.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) is 84/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 62, Value 65, Momentum 53, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Nutrien is the world's largest potash producer and also runs a large farm retail network. Its low-cost Canadian potash mines give it a real cost advantage, and high grain prices support farmers' demand for fertiliser. Against that, urea and nitrogen prices are falling, and fertiliser stocks slid after President Trump promoted US purchases of Belarusian potash, which could add supply to its main market. Earnings follow the fertiliser price cycle, and the most recent news on pricing has turned negative.
ABOUT NUTRIEN LTD.
Read
Nutrien Ltd. provides crop inputs and services. The company operates through four segments: Retail, Potash, Nitrogen, and Phosphate.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 37.9B | 29.1B | 26.0B | 26.9B | -10.8% | 27.3B | 28.7B | 28.5B | 2.9% |
| EPS | 14.22 | 2.53 | 1.36 | 4.66 | -31.1% | 4.94 | 5.10 | 5.13 | 4.9% |
| Shares | 507.2M | 494.6M | 491.0M | 482.0M | -5.0% | 477.2M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 11.9B | 12.6B | 12.8B | 12.0B | 0.3% | 12.7B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 25.8B | 25.2B | 24.4B | 25.3B | -0.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 8.1B | 5.1B | 3.5B | 4.0B | -20.9% | 4.2B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -2.9B | -3.0B | -2.1B | -1.4B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -4.7B | -2.1B | -1.5B | -2.8B | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Calmer than 66% of stocks we rank over the past year (33% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Basic Materials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of NTR are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTR | Nutrien Ltd.(you) | $35.9B | 84 | Strong Buy |
| TECK-B.TO | Teck Resources Limited | $32.8B | 83 | Strong Buy |
| KGC | Kinross Gold Corporation | $32.8B | 87 | Strong Buy |
| PAASN.MX | Pan American Silver Corp. | $23.7B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| FNV.TO | Franco-Nevada Corporation | $50.2B | 77 | Buy |
| LUN.TO | Lundin Mining Corporation | $21.0B | 78 | Buy |
| LUG.ST | Lundin Gold Inc. | $15.6B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| B | Barrick Mining Corporation | $69.9B | 90 | Strong Buy |
| AGI.TO | Alamos Gold Inc. | $15.4B | 81 | Strong Buy |
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals Inc. | $11.9B | 84 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE -15.0% · P/E 16.3x · Gross margin 49.1%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.