HBM
Strong BuyPremium GrowerAI neutralHudbay Minerals Inc. · Basic Materials · Canada · $11.9B cap · $104.7M/day traded
$25.76 -1.4% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
StockRank down 1.0 since 13 Oct.
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
Report expected 29 Oct: the next-year EPS estimate has risen 14.2% over the last 13 weeks.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) is 84/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 75, Value 43, Momentum 63, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Hudbay is a copper and gold miner with operations in Peru, Manitoba and a large development project in Arizona. It recently extended its Snow Lake mine life to 18 years. Copper hit a record high as Chilean output slumped, which supports the long-term supply-deficit case. Mining remains a commodity-price and capital-intensive business, the shares have been volatile as copper pulled back from its peak, and forward estimates have been cut slightly.
ABOUT HUDBAY MINERALS INC.
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Hudbay Minerals Inc. is a diversified mining company focused on the discovery, production, and marketing of base and precious metals, primarily copper, gold, and zinc. The company's competitive moat is anchored by low-cost, long-life operating assets in mining-friendly jurisdictions like Canada and Peru, alongside high-potential development projects in the United States. It positions itself as a premier mid-tier copper producer poised to benefit from global electrification and energy transition trends.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.5B | 1.7B | 2.0B | 2.2B | 14.8% | 2.5B | 2.9B | 3.4B | 24.1% |
| EPS | 0.27 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 1.44 | 74.7% | 1.76 | 1.51 | 2.03 | 18.6% |
| Shares | 262.0M | 350.7M | 394.9M | 396.8M | +51.5% | 444.1M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 1.2B | 1.4B | 1.2B | 1.1B | -5.1% | 1.0B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 1.6B | 2.1B | 2.6B | 3.2B | 27.1% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 487.8M | 476.9M | 666.2M | 707.3M | 13.2% | 830.9M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -337.7M | -271.8M | -382.9M | -468.4M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -196.3M | -182.4M | 10.2M | -214.4M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Swung more than 77% of stocks we rank over the past year (62% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Basic Materials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of HBM are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals Inc.(you) | $11.9B | 84 | Strong Buy |
| CSC.AX | Capstone Copper Corp. | $7.9B | 85 | Strong Buy |
| LUN.TO | Lundin Mining Corporation | $21.0B | 78 | Buy |
| TECK-B.TO | Teck Resources Limited | $32.8B | 83 | Strong Buy |
| ERO | Ero Copper Corp. | $3.8B | 95 | Strong Buy |
| FM.TO | First Quantum Minerals Ltd. | $26.7B | 63 | Hold |
| TKO.TO | Trekor Metals Limited | $3.3B | 63 | Hold |
| III.TO | Imperial Metals Corporation | $1.1B | 76 | Buy |
| ARG.TO | Amerigo Resources Ltd. | $999M | 98 | Strong Buy |
| ELD.TO | Eldorado Gold Corporation | $11.2B | 83 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE -15.0% · P/E 16.2x · Gross margin 49.1%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.