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NVAX

HOLDREMOVE

Novavax, Inc. · Healthcare · United States · $1.5B · Avg Vol: $44M/d

52
StockRank
Q
48
V
35
M
59
P/E (TTM)
ROE
D/E
Dividend %
AI CONVICTION THESIS

Novavax is a highly speculative biotech turnaround story with a history of execution issues. It lacks the high ROIC, stable cash flows, and structural moat required by our investment philosophy.

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

Novavax, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing innovative vaccines to address serious infectious diseases, prominently known for its protein-based COVID-19 vaccine. The company's competitive advantage lies in its proprietary recombinant nanoparticle technology and Matrix-M adjuvant, enabling the creation of highly effective and stable vaccine candidates.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year2022202320242025CAGR
Revenue1.6B556.4M682.2M1.1B-11.1%
EPS-8.42-5.41-1.232.72
Shares86.8M140.5M161.9M165.0M+90.0%
Debt549.8M229.1M230.4M248.8M-23.2%
Equity-634.1M-716.9M-623.8M-127.8M
Op CF-415.9M-714.0M-87.3M-244.6M
Inv CF-93.0M-58.8M-204.0M-78.3M
Fin CF325.0M4.5M260.6M27.7M
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PRICE (1Y)-7.5%
8.569.199.8310.4611.09May 12Jun 3Jun 24
SMA 50SMA 200
Close
$8.90
RSI (14)
31.9
52W High
$11.97
From 52W High
0.7%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
48
ROIC
64.9%99.5
ROE
N/A
GP/Assets
13.9%33.2
Op. Margin
-7.2%31.1
FCF/Assets
5.0%70.6
Piotroski
549.3
Int. Cover
20.6x69.7
D/E Ratio
N/A
Current Ratio
2.48x46.5
Value
35
P/E (TTM)
N/A
EV/EBITDA
16.9x37.6
P/FCF
25.4x45.6
P/B
-10.5x25.0
P/S
2.5x60.6
Div Yield
N/A
Momentum
59
52W High %
74%62.9
RS 6M
25%87.0
SMA 50/200
1.07x77.0
EPS Rev 4W
0.0%49.3
EPS Rev 12W
-52.3%3.2
EPS Improve
+3%22.4
Q Growth
N/A

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$1.5B
P/E (Forward)
-17.0x
Gross Margin
27.5%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Healthcare, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of NVAX are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
NVAXNovavax, Inc.(you)$1.5B52HOLD
FTREFortrea Holdings Inc.$1.5B54HOLD
ANABAnaptysBio, Inc.$1.7B53HOLD
SLSSELLAS Life Sciences Group, Inc.$1.7B51HOLD
KALVKalVista Pharmaceuticals, Inc.$1.4B46HOLD
URGNUroGen Pharma Ltd.$1.7B47HOLD
VIRVir Biotechnology, Inc.$1.6B46HOLD
SRPTSarepta Therapeutics, Inc.$1.9B55HOLD
BCAXBicara Therapeutics Inc.$1.6B45HOLD
MRVIMaravai LifeSciences Holdings, Inc.$1.9B48HOLD

Peer medians: ROE -22.1% · P/E 25.1x · Gross margin 44.3%

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) — Stock Score Summary

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) has a MoatMap StockRank of 52/100 based on Quality (48/100), Value (35/100), and Momentum (59/100) factor scores. The current signal is HOLD. Novavax is a highly speculative biotech turnaround story with a history of execution issues. It lacks the high ROIC, stable cash flows, and structural moat required by our investment philosophy.

Novavax, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing innovative vaccines to address serious infectious diseases, prominently known for its protein-based COVID-19 vaccine. The company's competitive advantage lies in its proprietary recombinant nanoparticle technology and Matrix-M adjuvant, enabling the creation of highly effective and stable vaccine candidates.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$8.90
Market Cap$1.5B
P/E (Forward)-16.97
Price/Book-10.47
Return on Invested Capital64.9%
Gross Margin27.5%
Operating Margin-7.2%
Revenue Growth-79.1%
Free Cash Flow$59M

Novavax, Inc. operates in the Biotechnology industry, part of the Healthcare sector (United States).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Novavax, Inc.’s (NVAX) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) is 52/100, with a Hold signal. It is a composite of Quality (48), Value (35), and Momentum (59) factor ranks across MoatMap’s 20,000+ stock universe.
Does Novavax, Inc. have an economic moat?
Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) has a Quality factor score of 48/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage — the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Novavax, Inc. a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) is Hold, based on a StockRank of 52/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many — combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Novavax, Inc. in?
Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) operates in the Healthcare sector, specifically the Biotechnology industry (United States).