OTLY

SellHot Air

Oatly Group AB · Consumer Defensive · Sweden · $387M · Avg Vol: $853K/d

Hot Air: Rising on momentum alone: weak business, rich price.

22
StockRank
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Quality
22
Value
30
Momentum
54
P/E (TTM)
—
peers 16.5x
ROE
-349.9%
peers 14.0%
D/E
120.4x
peers 0.5x
Dividend %
—
trailing yield

ABOUT OATLY GROUP AB

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Oatly Group AB is a global leader in oat-based food and beverage products, offering a wide range including oat milk, ice cream, yogurt, and spreads. It is a pioneer and strong brand in the plant-based food industry, recognized for its innovative products, sustainable focus, and widespread distribution. The company is a fast-growing consumer brand capitalizing on the rising demand for plant-based and dairy-alternative products.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year2022202320242025CAGRTTM2026E2027EFwd CAGR
Revenue722.2M783.3M823.7M862.5M6.1%925.0M961.0M1.0B8.5%
EPS-250.40-266.80-130.35-100.00——-2.52-2.06—
Shares31.2M31.2M31.2M31.2M0.0%31.9M———
Debt151.7M532.8M491.5M560.2M54.6%549.1M———
Equity791.1M334.0M104.7M18.6M-71.4%————
Op CF-268.9M-165.6M-114.4M-23.7M—-10.3M———
Inv CF34.8M-26.7M-9.3M-15.5M—————
Fin CF35.9M355.0M-27.3M1.2M—————
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y)-7.0%
12.1213.0614.0114.9515.9011 Aug1 Sep23 Sep
SMA 50SMA 200

Close
$12.12
RSI (14)
18.4
52W High
$18.22
From 52W High
-33.5%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
22
ROIC
-36.2%1.7
ROE
-349.9%25.0
GP/Assets
38.7%68.6
Op. Margin
-7.5%7.8
FCF/Assets
-1.0%16.4
Piotroski
528.1
Int. Cover
-1.3x8.3
D/E Ratio
120.36x0.0
Current Ratio
0.43x1.7
Value
30
P/E (TTM)
—N/A
EV/EBITDA
-66.3x25.0
P/FCF
—N/A
P/B
-16.3x25.0
P/S
0.4x76.0
Div Yield
—N/A
Momentum
54
52W High %
67%26.8
RS 6M
5%75.3
SMA 50/200
1.17x93.3
EPS Rev 4W
0.0%52.9
EPS Rev 12W
+0.5%51.8
EPS Improve
+51%60.0
Q Growth
—N/A

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$387M
P/E (Forward)
-6.1x
Gross Margin
33.0%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of OTLY are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
OTLYOatly Group AB(you)$387M22Sell
SECARE.STSwedencare AB (publ)$348M21Sell
HUMBLE.STHumble Group AB (publ)$234M31Sell
MSON-B.STMidsona AB (publ)$153M40Hold
SCST.STScandi Standard AB (publ)$1.1B49Hold
ZZ-B.STZinzino AB (publ)$548M89Strong Buy
AAK.STAAK AB (publ.)$4.8B47Hold
HAYPP.STHaypp Group AB (publ)$450M27Sell
VIVA.STViva Wine Group AB$349M53Hold
LYKO-A.STLyko Group AB (publ)$142M40Hold

Peer medians: ROE 14.0% · P/E 16.5x · Gross margin 31.1%

Company Deep Dive

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Oatly Group AB (OTLY): Stock Score Summary

Oatly Group AB (OTLY) has a MoatMap StockRank of 22/100 based on Quality (22/100), Value (30/100), and Momentum (54/100) factor scores. The current signal is SELL.

Oatly Group AB is a global leader in oat-based food and beverage products, offering a wide range including oat milk, ice cream, yogurt, and spreads. It is a pioneer and strong brand in the plant-based food industry, recognized for its innovative products, sustainable focus, and widespread distribution. The company is a fast-growing consumer brand capitalizing on the rising demand for plant-based and dairy-alternative products.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$12.12
Market Cap$387M
P/E (Forward)-6.09
Price/Book-16.31
Return on Equity-349.9%
Return on Invested Capital-36.2%
Debt/Equity120.36x
Gross Margin33.0%
Operating Margin-7.5%
Revenue Growth15.2%
Free Cash Flow$-8M

Oatly Group AB operates in the Packaged Foods industry, part of the Consumer Defensive sector (Sweden).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Oatly Group AB’s (OTLY) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Oatly Group AB (OTLY) is 22/100, with a Sell signal. It is a composite of Quality (22), Value (30), and Momentum (54) factor ranks across MoatMap’s universe of 25,000+ stocks.
Does Oatly Group AB have an economic moat?
Oatly Group AB (OTLY) has a Quality factor score of 22/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Oatly Group AB a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Oatly Group AB (OTLY) is Sell, based on a StockRank of 22/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Oatly Group AB in?
Oatly Group AB (OTLY) operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically the Packaged Foods industry (Sweden).