PDYN
SinkerPalladyne AI Corp. · Technology · United States · $183M cap · $3.4M/day traded
$3.09 -4.6% · close 13 Nov · scored 14 Nov
Sinker: Weak business, rich price and weak momentum. Nothing here to keep it afloat.
As of 14 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Palladyne AI Corp. (PDYN) is 2/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 17, Value 29, Momentum 16, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT PALLADYNE AI CORP.
Read
Palladyne AI Corp. is a technology company focused on developing AI-powered software solutions, primarily within the infrastructure sector. The company aims to provide innovative applications that enhance efficiency and decision-making for complex operational challenges. Its competitive moat depends on the efficacy and proprietary nature of its AI algorithms and their integration into existing enterprise systems.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income and shares | |||||||||
| Revenue | 14.6M | 6.1M | 7.8M | 5.2M | -28.9% | 11.8M | 24.8M | 40.0M | 176.2% |
| Net margin | -1078.5% | -1880.8% | -932.7% | 191.4% | +1269.9 pts | — | — | — | — |
| EPS | -6.42 | -4.51 | -2.71 | 0.26 | — | -0.69 | -0.93 | -0.73 | — |
| Share count | 25.7M | 25.9M | 33.9M | 46.1M | 21.5% | 49.3M | — | — | — |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||
| Debt | 13.3M | 12.4M | 11.0M | 10.8M | -6.7% | 10.6M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 144.4M | 40.9M | -9.5M | 74.7M | -19.7% | — | — | — | — |
| Debt/equity | 0.1x | 0.3x | n/m | 0.1x | 0.0x | — | — | — | — |
| Cash flow | |||||||||
| Op. cash flow | -65.4M | -76.6M | -22.6M | -27.6M | — | -35.2M | — | — | — |
| Cash flow margin | -448.8% | -1246.7% | -290.6% | -526.8% | -78.0 pts | -297.2% | — | — | — |
| Investing CF | -109.0M | 64.7M | 6.9M | -24.6M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Financing CF | -7.5M | -82.0K | 23.8M | 39.2M | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low 5 trading days ago, 69% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Swung more than 94% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 96% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling (this stock): It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor: It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend: It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Technology, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of PDYN are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| PDYN | Palladyne AI Corp.(you) | $183M | 2 |
| ZSQR | Z Squared Inc. | $207M | 1 |
| XLAB | Exascale Labs Holdings Inc. | $216M | 1 |
| KDK | Kodiak AI, Inc. | $205M | 0 |
| BNAI | Brand Engagement Network, Inc. | $94M | 2 |
| SWMR | Swarmer, Inc | $122M | 8 |
| BKKT | Bakkt, Inc. | $228M | 14 |
| MOVE | Corvex, Inc. | $267M | 11 |
| QMLS | QumulusAI, Inc. | $107M | 9 |
| AIFC | AI Financial Corporation | $77M | 0 |
Peer medians: ROE 6.1% · P/E 29.2x · Gross margin 52.2%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.