PRG
Strong BuyUnloved QualityAI neutralPROG Holdings, Inc. · Industrials · United States · $1.3B cap · $20.8M/day traded
$30.52 +0.1% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
StockRank down 1.3 since 13 Oct: Momentum down 3.
Unloved Quality: Strong and cheap; the market has not turned yet.
Report expected 28 Oct: the next-year EPS estimate has risen 4.1% over the last 13 weeks.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG) is 96/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 75, Value 81, Momentum 46, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
PROG Holdings provides omnichannel lease-to-own solutions to credit-challenged consumers through partnerships with major retail banners. While the business generates steady cash flow and actively buys back shares, recent executive share disposals and modest negative earnings revisions point to cautious non-prime consumer credit dynamics.
ABOUT PROG HOLDINGS, INC.
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PROG Holdings, Inc. is a fintech company that provides lease-to-own solutions for consumers seeking to acquire durable goods such as electronics, furniture, and appliances. The company utilizes proprietary decisioning technology and a broad network of retail partners to offer flexible payment options, catering to an underserved customer segment.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.6B | 2.3B | 2.4B | 2.4B | -2.5% | 2.6B | 3.1B | 3.3B | 16.9% |
| EPS | 1.90 | 3.02 | 4.63 | 3.66 | 24.4% | 3.12 | 5.12 | 5.79 | 25.7% |
| Shares | 48.0M | 43.7M | 40.8M | 39.6M | -17.6% | 39.8M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 612.1M | 608.1M | 654.9M | 602.1M | -0.5% | 887.1M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 570.5M | 591.3M | 650.3M | 746.4M | 9.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 242.5M | 204.2M | 138.5M | 335.0M | 11.4% | 333.1M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -53.5M | -38.8M | -79.2M | 6.6M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -227.2M | -141.9M | -119.1M | -128.5M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Swung more than 59% of stocks we rank over the past year (47% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Industrials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of PRG are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRG | PROG Holdings, Inc.(you) | $1.3B | 96 | Strong Buy |
| VSTS | Vestis Corporation | $1.8B | 60 | Hold |
| WLFC | Willis Lease Finance Corporation | $1.1B | 54 | Hold |
| MGRC | McGrath RentCorp | $2.8B | 59 | Hold |
| LIME | Neutron Holdings, Inc. | $1.8B | 48 | Hold |
| CTOS | Custom Truck One Source, Inc. | $2.2B | 38 | Hold |
| R | Ryder System, Inc. | $9.1B | 65 | Buy |
| HRI | Herc Holdings Inc. | $4.6B | 47 | Hold |
| WSC | WillScot Holdings Corporation | $3.2B | 29 | Sell |
| GATX | GATX Corporation | $6.6B | 32 | Sell |
Peer medians: ROE 10.0% · P/E 26.8x · Gross margin 29.2%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.