RCT.AX
BuyPremium GrowerAI concernReef Casino Trust · Consumer Cyclical · Australia · $124M cap · $17K/day traded
AUD 4.64 +0.2% · close 19 Oct · scored 20 Oct
StockRank down 1.0 since 17 Oct.
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
Strong on the numbers, but the AI review named a specific concern. Its reason is in the AI review below.
As of 20 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Reef Casino Trust (RCT.AX) is 69/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 55, Value 35, Momentum 73, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Reef Casino Trust, owner of The Reef Hotel Casino in Cairns, is subject to an unconditional takeover by Iris Cairns Property Trust, which has secured more than 80% of the units and is moving to acquire the remaining stake. Upside for remaining holders is capped at the offer price, and the insider buying shown in filings reflects the bidder building its stake rather than independent confidence. Once compulsory acquisition completes, the units are likely to be delisted.
ABOUT REEF CASINO TRUST
Read
Reef Casino Trust operates as an owner and lessor of the Reef Hotel Casino complex located in Cairns in North Queensland, Australia. The company provides various dine options comprising Tamarind Restaurant, Soy Kitchen Street Food, Merchant Café, and Flinders Bar and Grill restaurants.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (AUD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 30.3M | 25.9M | 25.2M | 26.6M | -4.3% | 25.8M |
| EPS (AUD) | 0.36 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 0.22 | -15.6% | 0.22 |
| Shares | 49.8M | 49.8M | 49.8M | 49.8M | 0.0% | 49.1M |
| Debt | 85.5M | 85.2M | 1.0K | 1.0M | -77.3% | 5.5M |
| Equity | 14.2M | 11.5M | 11.3M | 12.2M | -5.0% | — |
| Op CF | 22.4M | 16.8M | 14.6M | 16.0M | -10.6% | 16.8M |
| Inv CF | -3.0M | -6.7M | -8.2M | -7.2M | — | — |
| Fin CF | -15.3M | -16.4M | -10.5M | -8.1M | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and at its 52-week high.
Calmer than 57% of stocks we rank over the past year (38% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of RCT.AX are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCT.AX | Reef Casino Trust(you) | $124M | 69 | Buy |
| SGR.AX | The Star Entertainment Group Limited | $687M | 20 | Sell |
| SSG.AX | Shaver Shop Group Limited | $121M | 68 | Buy |
| HLO.AX | Helloworld Travel Limited | $158M | 70 | Buy |
| ADH.AX | Adairs Limited | $173M | 65 | Buy |
| CCV.AX | Cash Converters International Limited | $136M | 77 | Buy |
| BBN.AX | Baby Bunting Group Limited | $105M | 60 | Hold |
| VVA.AX | Viva Leisure Limited | $105M | 79 | Buy |
| SFC.AX | Schaffer Corporation Limited | $176M | 79 | Buy |
| SHJ.AX | Shine Justice Ltd | $89M | 58 | Hold |
Peer medians: ROE 9.2% · P/E 16.6x · Gross margin 46.7%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.