RLJ
HoldHot AirAI neutralRLJ Lodging Trust · Real Estate · United States · $1.7B cap · $19.6M/day traded
$11.29 +0.7% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
Hot Air: Rising on momentum alone: weak business, rich price.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) is 64/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 39, Value 47, Momentum 72, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
RLJ Lodging Trust owns focused-service and compact full-service hotels in US urban markets and reported a recovery in revenue per available room in the second quarter, while buying back about 0.6% of its shares. Hotels are a cyclical, capital-intensive business, and a leveraged real estate trust is exposed to high interest rates and a squeezed consumer.
ABOUT RLJ LODGING TRUST
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RLJ Lodging Trust is a self-advised real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns premium-branded, focused-service, and compact full-service hotels. The company's portfolio is strategically concentrated in high-barrier urban markets and dense suburban submarkets with diverse demand generators, such as business, leisure, and convention travel. Its competitive moat is driven by partnerships with leading global brands like Marriott and Hilton, combined with an efficient operating model that yields higher margins than traditional full-service resorts.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.3B | 4.2% | 1.4B | 1.4B | 1.4B | 2.8% |
| EPS | 0.10 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.01 | -53.6% | — | 0.02 | — | 82.8% |
| Shares | 162.0M | 155.3M | 153.3M | 151.1M | -6.7% | 152.4M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 2.3B | 2.3B | 2.3B | 2.3B | -0.3% | 2.8B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 2.4B | 2.3B | 2.3B | 2.2B | -3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 256.5M | 315.1M | 285.4M | 243.8M | -1.7% | 267.0M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -135.5M | -134.7M | -275.7M | -57.4M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -298.5M | -161.5M | -131.7M | -177.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 11% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 77% of stocks we rank over the past year (28% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of RLJ are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RLJ | RLJ Lodging Trust(you) | $1.7B | 64 | Hold |
| XHR | Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | $1.8B | 70 | Buy |
| SHO | Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. | $2.1B | 58 | Hold |
| PEB | Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | $2.1B | 75 | Buy |
| PK | Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | $3.0B | 54 | Hold |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | $8.3B | 63 | Hold |
| CLDT | Chatham Lodging Trust | $640M | 78 | Buy |
| SVC | Service Properties Trust | $848M | 41 | Hold |
| INN | Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. | $612M | 82 | Strong Buy |
| DRH | DiamondRock Hospitality Company | $2.5B | 94 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 4.8% · P/E 21.9x · Gross margin 67.4%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.