SAP
HoldPremium GrowerAI neutralSAP SE · Technology · Germany · $274.9B cap · $524.0M/day traded
$238.55 +0.2% · close 26 Oct · scored 27 Oct
StockRank down 1.1 since 24 Oct.
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
Reported 21 Oct: the next-year EPS estimate fell 0.7% across the report (snapshots of 18 Oct and 25 Oct).
As of 27 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for SAP SE (SAP) is 63/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 75, Value 27, Momentum 56, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
SAP's enterprise software is deeply embedded in the finance, supply chain and HR systems of large companies, which makes it very costly to replace, and its cloud migration is lifting recurring revenue. These are real moat qualities. The shares are under selling pressure, however, and forward estimates were cut 1.6% last month as investors debate whether AI agents will shrink seat-based software spending. Third-quarter results due on 21 October are the next test, and until then the risk-reward is balanced.
ABOUT SAP SE
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SAP SE is a global leader in enterprise application software, providing comprehensive solutions for ERP, CRM, supply chain management, and human capital management, with its flagship product being SAP S/4HANA. The company holds a dominant market share in enterprise software, with deeply embedded solutions critical to large organizations worldwide, creating significant switching costs for its vast customer base. SAP is a foundational technology provider driving digital transformation and operational efficiency across diverse industries.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 33.1B | 35.0B | 38.3B | 41.2B | 7.6% | 44.1B | 45.3B | 50.7B | 10.9% |
| EPS | 2.20 | 5.86 | 3.00 | 6.88 | 46.3% | 8.03 | 7.55 | 8.93 | 14.0% |
| Shares | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.2B | +0.0% | 1.2B | — | — | — |
| Debt | 14.7B | 9.8B | 11.9B | 8.4B | -17.0% | 11.9B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 45.0B | 48.3B | 50.9B | 49.9B | 3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 6.3B | 7.0B | 5.8B | 10.3B | 17.5% | 11.1B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | 747.2M | 1.6B | -104.2M | -1.1B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -7.1B | -9.1B | -4.4B | -9.8B | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 12% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 55% of stocks we rank over the past year (39% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Technology, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of SAP are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAP | SAP SE(you) | $274.9B | 63 | Hold |
| CRM.NE | Salesforce, Inc. | $232.0B | 71 | Buy |
| SHOP | Shopify Inc. | $218.9B | 72 | Buy |
| NOW | ServiceNow, Inc. | $164.3B | 54 | Hold |
| DDOG | Datadog, Inc. | $96.8B | 63 | Hold |
| UBER | Uber Technologies, Inc. | $136.2B | 71 | Buy |
| CDNS | Cadence Design Systems, Inc. | $87.2B | 62 | Hold |
| INTU | Intuit Inc. | $91.8B | 66 | Buy |
| TEAM | Atlassian Corporation | $57.6B | 60 | Hold |
| ADP | Automatic Data Processing, Inc. | $120.5B | 83 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 8.2% · P/E 26.9x · Gross margin 33.1%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.