SSL
Strong BuyPremium GrowerAI neutralSasol Limited · Basic Materials · South Africa · $9.2B cap · $29.7M/day traded
$15.93 +1.5% · close 20 Oct · scored 21 Oct
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
As of 21 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Sasol Limited (SSL) is 89/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 65, Value 39, Momentum 85, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Sasol is a South African integrated energy and chemicals group whose Secunda coal-to-liquids plant benefits from higher oil prices. Its chemicals businesses in Europe and the US, however, face weak margins and high gas costs. The group carries significant debt, faces production and emissions challenges at Secunda, and analysts cut forward earnings estimates by 8.7% over the past month. This is a capital-heavy commodity producer, not a quality compounder.
ABOUT SASOL LIMITED
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Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company. It offers bitumen, industrial heating fuels, naphtha, lubricants and lubricant base oils, liquefied petroleum gas, automotive and industrial lubricants, greases, cleansers and degreasers, automotive fuels, and burner fuels or domestic, as...
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 16.6B | 17.6B | 16.7B | 15.1B | 16.5B | -0.1% | 16.5B | 17.2B | 16.0B | -1.7% |
| EPS | 3.79 | 0.85 | -4.25 | 0.65 | 1.15 | -25.7% | 1.11 | 1.48 | 1.37 | 9.0% |
| Shares | 629.3M | 640.7M | 635.4M | 636.3M | 641.0M | +1.9% | 634.7M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 7.4B | 8.5B | 8.2B | 7.3B | 6.7B | -2.1% | 6.7B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 11.5B | 12.0B | 8.7B | 9.3B | 9.9B | -3.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 2.4B | 2.2B | 1.8B | 2.3B | 2.0B | -5.2% | 2.0B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -915.8M | -1.7B | -1.9B | -1.6B | -1.3B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -908.2M | 72.2M | -423.1M | -1.0B | -442.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 3% below its 52-week high.
Swung more than 71% of stocks we rank over the past year (56% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Basic Materials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of SSL are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSL | Sasol Limited(you) | $9.2B | 89 | Strong Buy |
| AFE.JO | AECI Ltd | $651M | 92 | Strong Buy |
| IMP.JO | Impala Platinum Holdings Limited | $10.9B | 88 | Strong Buy |
| NPH.JO | Northam Platinum Holdings Limited | $6.4B | 87 | Strong Buy |
| HMY | Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | $11.7B | 97 | Strong Buy |
| KIO.JO | Kumba Iron Ore Limited | $4.4B | 91 | Strong Buy |
| PAF.AX | Pan African Resources PLC | $3.5B | 91 | Strong Buy |
| VAL.JO | Valterra Platinum Limited | $21.0B | 95 | Strong Buy |
| SSW.JO | Sibanye Stillwater Limited | $7.5B | 66 | Buy |
| GFI.JO | Gold Fields Limited | $36.3B | 91 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 34.7% · P/E 8.1x · Gross margin 34.9%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.