TDAY
Hot AirUSA TODAY Co., Inc. · Communication Services · United States · $1.0B cap · $21.5M/day traded
$7.25 +4.3% · close 11 Nov · scored 11 Nov
Hot Air: Strong momentum and nothing else: weak business, rich price.
Around its 5 Nov results, analysts left next year's EPS estimate little changed.
As of 11 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) is 48/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 47, Value 40, Momentum 55, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT USA TODAY CO., INC.
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USA TODAY Co., Inc. is a major American media and publishing company known for its flagship national newspaper and digital news platform. The company leverages a massive national audience and a localized digital marketing services platform to drive subscription and advertising revenue. Its competitive moat is built on a highly recognized household brand name and a vast, nationwide local media network.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.9B | 2.7B | 2.5B | 2.3B | -7.9% | 2.2B | 2.2B | 2.1B | -3.6% |
| EPS | -0.57 | -0.20 | -0.18 | 0.01 | — | -0.04 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 456.2% |
| Shares | 146.2M | 148.9M | 147.4M | 147.1M | +0.6% | 147.8M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 1.4B | 1.3B | 1.3B | 1.1B | -7.3% | 1.1B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 295.7M | 317.8M | 153.1M | 155.1M | -19.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 40.8M | 94.6M | 100.3M | 114.4M | 41.0% | 114.7M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | 22.1M | 47.0M | -27.9M | 9.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -102.9M | -135.5M | -68.9M | -139.8M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Swung more than 52% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 43% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Communication Services, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of TDAY are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| TDAY | USA TODAY Co., Inc.(you) | $1.0B | 48 |
| SCHL | Scholastic Corporation | $709M | 38 |
| WLY | John Wiley & Sons, Inc. | $2.7B | 76 |
| LEE | Lee Enterprises, Incorporated | $141M | 21 |
| NYT | The New York Times Company | $11.2B | 70 |
| GLIBK | Liberty Capital Corporation | $861M | 45 |
| NXDR | Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. | $940M | 38 |
| STGW | Stagwell Inc. | $1.6B | 52 |
| EVC | Entravision Communications Corporation | $575M | 50 |
| RSVR | Reservoir Media, Inc. | $631M | 34 |
Peer medians: ROE 4.5% · P/E 16.7x · Gross margin 55.7%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.