TMC
Strong SellSinkerTMC the metals company Inc. · Basic Materials · Canada · $2.3B cap · $14.1M/day traded
$2.88 -14.2% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
Sinker: Weak, expensive and falling. Nothing here to keep it afloat.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) is 2/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 19, Value 25, Momentum 20, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
ABOUT TMC THE METALS COMPANY INC.
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TMC the metals company Inc. is an explorer of critical battery metals from polymetallic nodules found on the abyssal seafloor. Its competitive moat is derived from its exclusive access to large, high-grade nodule deposits in the Clarion Clipperton Zone of the Pacific Ocean, offering a potentially lower-impact and less costly alternative to land-based mining for nickel, copper, cobalt, and manganese. TMC positions itself as a pioneering leader in the emerging deep-sea resource industry, aiming to provide sustainable metal supplies.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 21.9M | — |
| EPS | -0.71 | -0.26 | -0.25 | -0.83 | — | -0.73 | -0.40 | -0.24 | — |
| Shares | 266.8M | 306.6M | 340.7M | 423.0M | +58.5% | 441.1M | — | — | — |
| Debt | — | — | 11.8M | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Equity | 41.5M | 10.9M | -17.1M | -33.4M | -73.7% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | -66.6M | -59.6M | -43.5M | -42.9M | — | -43.6M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -1.2M | -0.6M | -0.5M | 0.4M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 29.7M | 20.1M | 40.7M | 156.6M | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low in the latest session, 75% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Swung more than 94% of stocks we rank over the past year (94% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Basic Materials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of TMC are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMC | TMC the metals company Inc.(you) | $2.3B | 2 | Strong Sell |
| CADY.TO | Cadillac Mines Corporation | $1.3B | 5 | Strong Sell |
| USA.TO | Americas Gold and Silver Corporation | $1.8B | 15 | Strong Sell |
| LUNR.TO | LunR Royalties Corp. | $1.7B | 15 | Strong Sell |
| LAC | Lithium Americas Corp. | $1.1B | 5 | Strong Sell |
| VZLA | Vizsla Silver Corp. | $1.4B | 12 | Strong Sell |
| NGEX.TO | NGEx Minerals Ltd. | $4.0B | 12 | Strong Sell |
| SKE | Skeena Resources Limited | $4.0B | 13 | Strong Sell |
| SGML | Sigma Lithium Corporation | $1.1B | 11 | Strong Sell |
| NDM.TO | Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. | $789M | 1 | Strong Sell |
Peer medians: ROE -14.7% · P/E 16.2x · Gross margin 49.1%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.