VAL
Fallen FavouriteValaris Limited · Energy · United States · $6.8B cap · $69.4M/day traded
$79.77 +3.2% · close 6 Nov · scored 7 Nov
Fallen Favourite: A good business, still expensive, and its momentum is weak.
After its 2 Nov results, analysts left next year's EPS estimate little changed.
As of 7 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Valaris Limited (VAL) is 23/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 54, Value 29, Momentum 25, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT VALARIS LIMITED
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Valaris is a global offshore drilling contractor providing drilling services to the oil and gas industry with one of the industry's largest and most diversified fleets of drillships, jackups, and semi-submersibles. The company's extensive operational footprint and highly capable fleet across various challenging environments give it a competitive edge. It is a critical partner for energy companies seeking to develop offshore resources.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 1.6B | 1.8B | 2.4B | 2.4B | 13.9% | 2.1B | 2.2B | 2.5B | 2.2% |
| EPS | -60.00 | 2.35 | 11.67 | 5.18 | 13.93 | 81.0% | 11.27 | — | — | — |
| Shares | — | 75.2M | 72.4M | 71.0M | 69.2M | -8.0% | 69.4M | — | — | — |
| Debt | — | 565.6M | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.2B | 27.0% | 1.2B | — | — | — |
| Equity | — | 1.3B | 2.0B | 2.2B | 3.2B | 34.9% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | — | 127.0M | 267.5M | 355.4M | 546.2M | 62.6% | 227.5M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | — | -16.7M | -665.8M | -452.3M | -205.6M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | — | -6.4M | 285.5M | -158.3M | -103.6M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Swung more than 75% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 61% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Energy, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of VAL are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAL | Valaris Limited(you) | $6.8B | 23 |
| NE | Noble Corporation plc | $7.6B | 23 |
| SDRL | Seadrill Limited | $3.3B | 34 |
| HP | Helmerich & Payne, Inc. | $3.9B | 46 |
| PTEN | Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. | $4.6B | 49 |
| SOC | Sable Offshore Corp. | $625M | 2 |
| SEI | Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. | $5.9B | 25 |
| IEP | Icahn Enterprises L.P. | $4.1B | 22 |
| KGS | Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. | $4.5B | 20 |
| CRK | Comstock Resources, Inc. | $4.1B | 24 |
Peer medians: ROE 10.2% · P/E 14.1x · Gross margin 45.5%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.