VRRM
Unloved QualityVerra Mobility Corporation · Technology · United States · $470M cap · $10.6M/day traded
$2.06 +0.0% · close 11 Nov · scored 11 Nov
Unloved Quality: Strong and cheap, but the market has not warmed to it.
As of 11 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) is 64/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 61, Value 85, Momentum 14, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT VERRA MOBILITY CORPORATION
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Verra Mobility Corporation provides smart mobility technology solutions, encompassing automated traffic enforcement, toll management, and vehicle registration services for government agencies and rental car companies. The company holds a leading market position as a critical partner for managing complex urban mobility challenges, benefiting from long-term contracts and network effects within its niche. Its proprietary technology and extensive client base create significant barriers to entry for competitors.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 741.6M | 817.3M | 879.2M | 979.1M | 9.7% | 1.0B | 962.4M | 872.7M | -5.6% |
| EPS | 0.61 | 0.36 | 0.19 | 0.86 | 12.1% | 0.24 | 0.75 | 0.48 | -25.3% |
| Shares | 149.0M | 166.6M | 159.6M | 153.6M | +3.1% | 152.0M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 1.3B | 1.1B | 1.1B | 1.1B | -5.2% | 1.1B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 231.1M | 421.5M | 265.1M | 293.0M | 8.2% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 218.3M | 206.1M | 223.6M | 255.8M | 5.4% | 251.7M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -48.6M | -58.3M | -69.7M | -118.8M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -164.9M | -117.8M | -211.4M | -151.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low in the latest session, 91% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Swung more than 92% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 90% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Technology, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of VRRM are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| VRRM | Verra Mobility Corporation(you) | $470M | 64 |
| NABL | N-able, Inc. | $967M | 52 |
| VYX | NCR Voyix Corporation | $1.2B | 75 |
| GDYN | Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. | $702M | 86 |
| INOD | Innodata Inc. | $2.0B | 62 |
| CNDT | Conduent Incorporated | $278M | 43 |
| TTGT | TechTarget, Inc. | $268M | 43 |
| III | Information Services Group, Inc. | $299M | 88 |
| HCKT | The Hackett Group, Inc. | $306M | 92 |
| IBEX | IBEX Limited | $627M | 97 |
Peer medians: ROE 6.0% · P/E 29.2x · Gross margin 52.2%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.