2286.SR
Full HouseFourth Milling Company · Consumer Defensive · Saudi Arabia · $557M cap · $644K/day traded
SAR 3.87 +0.8% · close 5 Nov · scored 7 Nov
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, and the market agrees.
As of 7 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Fourth Milling Company (2286.SR) is 95/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 77, Value 59, Momentum 66, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT FOURTH MILLING COMPANY
Read
Fourth Milling Company engages in the production of flour, feed, bran, and wheat derivatives in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (SAR)
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 558.1M | 617.5M | 660.4M | 8.8% | 738.0M | 683.0M | 756.0M | 7.0% |
| EPS (SAR) | 0.26 | 0.32 | 0.37 | 18.3% | 0.41 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 9.1% |
| Shares | 540.0M | 540.0M | 540.0M | 0.0% | 540.0M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 402.3M | 393.7M | 376.4M | -3.3% | 372.1M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 683.0M | 713.4M | 794.7M | 7.9% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 167.2M | 269.0M | 234.0M | 18.3% | 305.6M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -4.4M | -89.1M | -150.8M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -221.1M | -163.8M | -142.5M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 10% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 94% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 18% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 2286.SR are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2286.SR | Fourth Milling Company(you) | $557M | 95 |
| 2285.SR | Arabian Mills for Food Products Company | $545M | 85 |
| 9559.SR | Balady Poultry Company | $235M | 31 |
| 6050.SR | Saudi Fisheries Company | $1.1B | 15 |
| 6060.SR | Ash-Sharqiyah Development Co. | $91M | 14 |
| 2283.SR | The First Milling Company | $850M | 85 |
| 6020.SR | Al Gassim Investment Holding Company | $78M | 15 |
| 2284.SR | Modern Mills Company | $580M | 76 |
| 4165.SR | Al Majed for Oud Company | $829M | 80 |
| 6090.SR | Jazan Development and Investment Company | $84M | 6 |
Peer medians: ROE 8.9% · P/E 14.9x · Gross margin 31.0%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.