4165.SR
Fallen FavouriteAl Majed for Oud Company · Consumer Defensive · Saudi Arabia · $829M cap · $1.6M/day traded
SAR 124.40 -1.7% · close 5 Nov · scored 7 Nov
Fallen Favourite: A good business, still expensive, and its momentum is weak.
As of 7 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Al Majed for Oud Company (4165.SR) is 80/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 85, Value 44, Momentum 49, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT AL MAJED FOR OUD COMPANY
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Al Majed for Oud Company manufactures, retails, and distributes perfumes and oud products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf countries.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (SAR)
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 772.5M | 926.0M | 1.1B | 19.5% | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.4B | 11.6% |
| EPS (SAR) | 5.95 | 6.28 | 8.70 | 21.0% | 8.64 | 9.89 | 11.18 | 13.4% |
| Shares | 25.0M | 25.0M | 25.0M | 0.0% | 25.0M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 263.5M | 223.2M | 206.7M | -11.4% | 228.2M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 377.3M | 468.2M | 584.3M | 24.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 169.3M | 220.6M | 438.6M | 61.0% | 451.2M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -58.3M | -36.2M | -29.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -79.6M | -208.9M | -203.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low 9 trading days ago, 26% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Calmer than 72% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 31% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 4165.SR are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4165.SR | Al Majed for Oud Company(you) | $829M | 80 |
| 9628.SR | Lamasat Company | $119M | 92 |
| 4193.SR | Nice One Beauty Digital Marketing Company | $279M | 5 |
| 2283.SR | The First Milling Company | $850M | 85 |
| 4162.SR | Almunajem Foods Company | $864M | 74 |
| 2284.SR | Modern Mills Company | $580M | 76 |
| 2285.SR | Arabian Mills for Food Products Company | $545M | 85 |
| 2050.SR | Savola Group Company | $1.9B | 75 |
| 2286.SR | Fourth Milling Company | $557M | 95 |
| 6019.SR | Almasar Alshamil Education Company JSC | $555M | 61 |
Peer medians: ROE 8.9% · P/E 13.9x · Gross margin 31.0%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.