ATAT
Strong BuyFull HouseAtour Lifestyle Holdings Limited · Consumer Cyclical · China · $4.5B cap · $27.9M/day traded
$33.35 +0.9% · close 20 Oct · scored 21 Oct
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
Report expected 24 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has risen 4.3% over the last 13 weeks.
As of 21 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited (ATAT) is 92/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 88, Value 53, Momentum 53, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
ABOUT ATOUR LIFESTYLE HOLDINGS LIMITED
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Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited is a rapidly expanding lifestyle hotel chain in China, known for its distinctive blend of hospitality, retail, and social experiences targeting the mid-to-high-end segment. The company differentiates itself through an innovative 'scenario-based retail' model integrated within its hotels, fostering strong brand loyalty and community engagement. Atour's competitive edge is driven by its unique brand positioning, rapid network expansion, and successful appeal to a growing demographic seeking curated travel and lifestyle experiences.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.1B | 339.5M | 699.9M | 1.1B | 1.5B | -9.1% | 1.8B | 1.9B | 2.3B | 25.1% |
| EPS | 0.89 | 0.41 | 3.03 | 5.15 | 6.49 | 64.2% | 2.03 | 8.00 | 9.73 | 22.4% |
| Shares | 436.2M | 111.5M | 111.5M | 111.5M | 111.5M | -74.4% | 111.5M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 109.4M | 344.9M | 292.6M | 259.9M | 228.7M | 20.2% | 193.7M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 579.4M | 179.6M | 310.2M | 443.5M | 539.0M | -1.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 417.9M | 42.6M | 298.3M | 258.9M | 298.9M | -8.0% | 351.8M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -42.2M | -28.8M | -90.1M | -78.1M | -199.8M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -161.1M | 68.4M | -22.0M | -64.0M | -138.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
No new 52-week low for 12 weeks, 8% above that low, but not back above a rising 50-day average.
The Momentum score still reads 53: it looks back six months, so it has not caught up with this fall.
Calmer than 55% of stocks we rank over the past year (39% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of ATAT are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATAT | Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited(you) | $4.5B | 92 | Strong Buy |
| 1179.HK | H World Group Limited | $13.3B | 68 | Buy |
| 600258.SS | BTG Hotels (Group) Co., Ltd. | $1.8B | 48 | Hold |
| 002033.SZ | LiJiang YuLong Tourism Co., LTD. | $678M | 61 | Hold |
| 600754.SS | Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels Co., Ltd. | $2.9B | 31 | Sell |
| 600054.SS | Huangshan Tourism Development Co.,Ltd. | $1.2B | 36 | Hold |
| 000069.SZ | Shenzhen Overseas Chinese Town Co.,Ltd. | $2.2B | 23 | Sell |
| 600138.SS | China Cyts Tours Holding Co., Ltd. | $755M | 24 | Sell |
| 1585.HK | Yadea Group Holdings Ltd. | $3.2B | 88 | Strong Buy |
| 0921.HK | Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. | $3.8B | 84 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 6.6% · P/E 22.5x · Gross margin 21.2%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.