BBAI
Strong SellSinkerBigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. · Technology · United States · $1.4B · Avg Vol: $46M/d
Sinker: Weak, expensive and falling. Nothing here to keep it afloat.
ABOUT BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS, INC.
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BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. delivers AI-powered decision intelligence, predictive analytics, and cyber security solutions to government and commercial sectors. The company's competitive moat is established by its deeply embedded, long-term relationships with the US Department of Defense and the intelligence community. It operates as a specialized AI software provider focused on national security, defense, and complex supply chain logistics.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 155.0M | 155.2M | 158.2M | 127.7M | -6.3% | 131.6M | 145.3M | 161.0M | 12.3% |
| EPS | -0.23 | -0.13 | -1.10 | -0.82 | — | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Shares | 478.9M | 478.9M | 251.6M | 437.0M | -8.8% | 479.5M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 200.3M | 162.5M | 146.4M | 114.8M | -16.9% | 22.8M | — | — | — |
| Equity | -37.9M | -30.0M | -3.7M | 611.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | -48.9M | -18.3M | -38.1M | -42.0M | — | -71.6M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -5.2M | -3.8M | 2.8M | -606.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -103.1M | 42.1M | 52.5M | 691.3M | — | — | — | — | — |
Swung more than 89% of stocks we rank over the past year (82% a year).
How this is worked out
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Technology, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of BBAI are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBAI | BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.(you) | $1.4B | 4 | Strong Sell |
| KEEL | Keel Infrastructure Corp. | $2.5B | 7 | Strong Sell |
| SHAZ | SharonAI Holdings Inc. | $2.1B | 13 | Strong Sell |
| WYFI | WhiteFiber, Inc. | $740M | 13 | Strong Sell |
| CHRN | ChronoScale Holdings Corporation | $3.0B | 12 | Strong Sell |
| CSQR | Csquare, Inc. | $3.1B | 14 | Strong Sell |
| CIFR | Cipher Digital Inc. | $7.6B | 2 | Strong Sell |
| APLD | Applied Digital Corporation | $7.7B | 8 | Strong Sell |
| NABL | N-able, Inc. | $784M | 38 | Hold |
| KD | Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. | $2.6B | 49 | Hold |
Peer medians: ROE 4.7% · P/E 34.3x · Gross margin 51.8%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.