BCC
BuyUnloved QualityAI neutralBoise Cascade Company · Basic Materials · United States · $2.7B cap · $24.7M/day traded
$73.41 -0.2% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
StockRank down 1.2 since 13 Oct.
Unloved Quality: Strong and cheap; the market has not turned yet.
Report expected 2 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has fallen 2.1% over the last 13 weeks.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Boise Cascade Company (BCC) is 67/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 59, Value 53, Momentum 49, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Boise Cascade makes engineered wood products and plywood and runs one of the largest US building-materials wholesale distribution networks. It reported record sales in Q2 2026 and continues to expand its distribution footprint, and it is buying back shares. The business is well run with a sound balance sheet, but earnings depend heavily on US housing starts and wood product prices, which are cyclical commodities. Higher-for-longer mortgage rates work against a near-term recovery in new construction, so there is no clear catalyst that the market has not already priced.
The ranks quoted here are from the day it was written; today's Quality, Value and Momentum are the bars above.
ABOUT BOISE CASCADE COMPANY
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Boise Cascade Company is a diversified wood products manufacturer, specializing in plywood and engineered wood products (EWP) like I-joists and LVL, complemented by a wholesale building materials distribution network. Its competitive moat is built on a vertically integrated business model, which spans manufacturing to distribution, ensuring efficiency and cost control. Boise Cascade is a leading North American producer of EWP and a critical distributor of building materials.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 8.4B | 6.8B | 6.7B | 6.4B | -8.6% | 6.5B | 6.6B | 6.9B | 3.6% |
| EPS | 18.07 | 21.70 | 12.20 | 9.63 | 3.54 | -33.5% | 2.94 | 3.94 | 5.30 | 22.4% |
| Shares | — | 39.5M | 39.5M | 38.2M | 36.2M | -8.3% | 34.9M | — | — | — |
| Debt | — | 523.1M | 529.8M | 516.2M | 510.8M | -0.8% | 549.3M | — | — | — |
| Equity | — | 2.1B | 2.2B | 2.2B | 2.1B | 0.3% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | — | 1.0B | 687.5M | 438.3M | 254.1M | -37.5% | 275.8M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | — | -625.5M | -375.6M | -237.8M | -263.3M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | — | -166.3M | -360.7M | -436.8M | -226.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Calmer than 56% of stocks we rank over the past year (38% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Basic Materials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of BCC are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BCC | Boise Cascade Company(you) | $2.7B | 67 | Buy |
| UFPI | UFP Industries, Inc. | $4.5B | 62 | Hold |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. | $7.2B | 73 | Buy |
| KWR | Quaker Chemical Corporation | $2.7B | 68 | Buy |
| NGVT | Ingevity Corporation | $2.5B | 66 | Buy |
| FUL | H.B. Fuller Company | $2.7B | 64 | Hold |
| WDFC | WD-40 Company | $2.7B | 61 | Hold |
| SMG | The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company | $3.1B | 74 | Buy |
| ASH | Ashland Inc. | $3.2B | 75 | Buy |
| CENX | Century Aluminum Company | $3.8B | 62 | Hold |
Peer medians: ROE 2.9% · P/E 20.4x · Gross margin 28.1%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.