SSD
BuyFallen FavouriteAI neutralSimpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. · Basic Materials · United States · $7.2B cap · $51.3M/day traded
$170.14 -0.6% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
StockRank down 1.6 since 13 Oct.
Fallen Favourite: A good business, still expensive, and the price is falling.
Report expected 26 Oct: the next-year EPS estimate has fallen 1.5% over the last 13 weeks.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD) is 73/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 81, Value 40, Momentum 47, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Simpson Manufacturing makes structural connectors, anchors and fasteners that builders specify by name, which gives it a strong brand and pricing power in a niche market, reflected in high returns on capital. Second-quarter results showed solid sales growth, guidance was updated and the company is buying back shares. Demand, however, is tied to US housing starts and repair activity, which remain held back by mortgage rates that are not falling as hoped, so near-term growth depends on a housing recovery that is not yet visible.
ABOUT SIMPSON MANUFACTURING CO., INC.
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Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. is a leading designer, engineer, and manufacturer of wood construction products, including structural connectors, fasteners, and shearwalls. Its products are essential for residential and commercial construction, enhancing structural integrity and safety. Simpson Manufacturing holds a strong market position due to its extensive product innovation, strong brand reputation, and robust distribution network, making it a preferred supplier for builders and contractors.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.1B | 2.2B | 2.2B | 2.3B | 3.3% | 2.4B | 2.4B | 2.5B | 3.9% |
| EPS | 7.78 | 8.31 | 7.64 | 8.27 | 2.1% | 9.15 | 9.47 | 10.08 | 10.4% |
| Shares | 42.6M | 42.3M | 41.9M | 41.3M | -3.1% | 41.0M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 635.5M | 551.6M | 480.7M | 487.6M | -8.5% | 446.5M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 1.4B | 1.7B | 1.8B | 2.0B | 12.9% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 399.8M | 427.0M | 338.2M | 458.7M | 4.7% | 574.4M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -870.2M | -103.3M | -259.3M | -136.2M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 465.5M | -199.0M | -261.5M | -186.1M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Calmer than 75% of stocks we rank over the past year (29% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Basic Materials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of SSD are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.(you) | $7.2B | 73 | Buy |
| UFPI | UFP Industries, Inc. | $4.5B | 62 | Hold |
| BCC | Boise Cascade Company | $2.7B | 67 | Buy |
| AURA33.SA | Aura Minerals Inc. | $7.8B | 72 | Buy |
| EMN | Eastman Chemical Company | $7.6B | 64 | Hold |
| HCC | Warrior Met Coal, Inc. | $4.8B | 75 | Buy |
| AXTA | Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. | $6.9B | 83 | Strong Buy |
| HCL.DE | Hecla Mining Company | $11.6B | 71 | Buy |
| SXT | Sensient Technologies Corporation | $5.5B | 67 | Buy |
| NEU | NewMarket Corporation | $8.2B | 82 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 2.9% · P/E 20.7x · Gross margin 27.9%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.