BRSL
Bargain BinBrightstar Lottery PLC · Consumer Cyclical · United Kingdom · $1.7B cap · $21.4M/day traded
$9.69 -5.7% · close 12 Nov · scored 13 Nov
Score down 2.5 since 12 Nov: Momentum down 3 after a 6% price fall.
Bargain Bin: Looks like a bargain; the quality and the trend say why it is in the bin.
As of 13 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL) is 43/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 41, Value 64, Momentum 31, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT BRIGHTSTAR LOTTERY PLC
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Brightstar Lottery PLC is a United Kingdom-based gaming and lottery operator specializing in digital lottery solutions, scratchcards, and regulated gambling platforms. The company maintains a competitive market position by leveraging proprietary lottery software and securing exclusive regional operating licenses that create high barriers to entry. Its business model benefits from highly resilient consumer demand and a growing digital footprint that drives high-margin recurring revenues.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.6B | 2.5B | 2.5B | 2.5B | -1.1% | 2.5B | 2.5B | 2.6B | 1.2% |
| EPS | 1.38 | 0.78 | 1.92 | 0.74 | -18.8% | 0.98 | 0.42 | 0.58 | -11.3% |
| Shares | 199.1M | 200.5M | 202.0M | 186.9M | -6.1% | 180.8M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 6.0B | 5.8B | 5.5B | 4.3B | -10.8% | 4.4B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 1.4B | 1.4B | 1.7B | 875.0M | -15.1% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 899.0M | 1.0B | 1.1B | -99.0M | 8.1% | -1.8B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | 168.0M | -393.0M | -357.0M | 3.5B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -1.1B | -610.0M | -606.0M | -2.7B | — | — | — | — | — |
No new 52-week low for 3 weeks, 6% above that low, but not back above a rising 50-day average.
Calmer than 65% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 34% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling: It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor (this stock): It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend: It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of BRSL are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRSL | Brightstar Lottery PLC(you) | $1.7B | 43 |
| PTEC.L | Playtech plc | $1.4B | 22 |
| RNK.L | The Rank Group Plc | $491M | 71 |
| NXQ.L | Nexteq plc | $29M | 34 |
| SSPG.L | SSP Group plc | $1.8B | 54 |
| COA.L | Coats Group plc | $2.1B | 54 |
| CPRI | Capri Holdings Limited | $1.8B | 60 |
| TW.L | Taylor Wimpey plc | $3.8B | 47 |
| BRBY.L | Burberry Group plc | $5.0B | 44 |
| INCH.L | Inchcape plc | $2.9B | 55 |
Peer medians: ROE 7.0% · P/E 15.4x · Gross margin 43.4%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.