CG
Strong SellSinkerThe Carlyle Group Inc. · Financial Services · United States · $13.8B cap · $132.8M/day traded
$38.53 -0.6% · close 27 Oct · scored 28 Oct
Sinker: Weak, expensive and falling. Nothing here to keep it afloat.
Report expected 29 Oct: the next-year EPS estimate has fallen 2.5% over the last 14 weeks, down 3 weeks running.
As of 28 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) is 12/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 40, Value 24, Momentum 23, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
ABOUT THE CARLYLE GROUP INC.
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The Carlyle Group Inc. is a leading global investment firm that deploys capital across three primary segments: Global Private Equity, Global Credit, and Investment Solutions. Its competitive moat is built on its expansive global network, deep sector expertise across diverse industries, strong fundraising capabilities, and a consistent track record of identifying and executing value-creating investments. Carlyle's robust platform attracts significant institutional capital, positioning it as a major player in alternative asset management.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 3.4B | 1.3B | 3.4B | 3.2B | -1.4% | 2.8B | 3.0B | 3.9B | 10.2% |
| EPS | 8.37 | 3.39 | -1.68 | 2.85 | 2.25 | -28.0% | 0.97 | 1.97 | 2.78 | 11.2% |
| Shares | — | 362.3M | 361.3M | 357.2M | 357.4M | -1.4% | 356.3M | — | — | — |
| Debt | — | 8.7B | 9.3B | 9.5B | 13.9B | 17.0% | 14.3B | — | — | — |
| Equity | — | 6.2B | 5.2B | 5.6B | 5.8B | -2.5% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | — | -379.3M | 204.9M | -759.5M | -3.3B | — | -4.0B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | — | -828.8M | -43.6M | -77.6M | -99.4M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | — | 114.8M | -99.6M | 682.8M | 4.0B | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low 9 trading days ago, 42% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Calmer than 59% of stocks we rank over the past year (37% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Financial Services, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CG are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CG | The Carlyle Group Inc.(you) | $13.8B | 12 | Strong Sell |
| PS | Pershing Square Inc. | $17.6B | 6 | Strong Sell |
| STEP | StepStone Group Inc. | $5.4B | 7 | Strong Sell |
| EQH | Equitable Holdings, Inc. | $14.4B | 38 | Hold |
| HASI | HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. | $4.7B | 18 | Strong Sell |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | $14.7B | 42 | Hold |
| CRBG | Corebridge Financial, Inc. | $15.2B | 44 | Hold |
| CVC.AS | CVC Capital Partners plc | $15.5B | 47 | Hold |
| ARES | Ares Management Corporation | $40.5B | 29 | Sell |
| KKR | KKR & Co. Inc. | $84.4B | 16 | Strong Sell |
Peer medians: ROE 9.6% · P/E 13.0x · Gross margin 75.2%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.