CHKP
Fallen FavouriteCheck Point Software Technologies Ltd. · Technology · Israel · $16.2B cap · $200.6M/day traded
$147.49 +0.6% · close 12 Nov · scored 13 Nov
Fallen Favourite: A good business, still expensive, and its momentum is weak.
As of 13 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) is 67/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 69, Value 46, Momentum 48, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT CHECK POINT SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD.
Read
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. is a global provider of cybersecurity solutions, offering comprehensive network, endpoint, cloud, and mobile security products to protect enterprises and governments. Its competitive moat stems from a long-standing reputation for robust, enterprise-grade security solutions and a strong portfolio of intellectual property. Check Point is a pioneering and leading global cybersecurity vendor, consistently recognized for its advanced threat prevention capabilities.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.2B | 2.3B | 2.4B | 2.6B | 2.7B | 5.9% | 2.8B | 2.8B | 2.9B | 3.4% |
| EPS | — | 6.37 | 7.19 | 7.65 | 9.85 | 15.6% | 8.31 | 8.53 | 9.15 | -3.6% |
| Shares | — | 120.8M | 112.9M | 108.4M | 105.6M | -12.6% | 102.1M | — | — | — |
| Debt | — | — | — | — | 2.0B | — | 2.0B | — | — | — |
| Equity | — | 2.9B | 2.8B | 2.8B | 2.9B | -0.5% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | — | 1.1B | 1.0B | 1.1B | 1.2B | 3.0% | 1.2B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | — | -6.4M | 468.7M | -24.0M | -680.4M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | — | -1.2B | -1.2B | -1.1B | 752.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
31% above its 52-week low and back above a rising 50-day average since 15 Oct 2026.
The Momentum score still reads 48: it weighs six months of price and earnings revisions, so it trails a turn like this.
Calmer than 52% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 41% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling: It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor: It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up (this stock): It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend: It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Technology, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CHKP are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHKP | Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.(you) | $16.2B | 67 |
| WIX | Wix.com Ltd. | $3.4B | 55 |
| RDWR | Radware Ltd. | $1.3B | 64 |
| CLBT | Cellebrite DI Ltd. | $3.0B | 40 |
| CGNT | Cognyte Software Ltd. | $721M | 63 |
| ALLT | Allot Ltd. | $441M | 61 |
| NYAX | Nayax Ltd. | $1.8B | 17 |
| NICE | NICE Ltd. | $7.1B | 68 |
| TSEM | Tower Semiconductor Ltd. | $19.0B | 48 |
| MNDY | monday.com Ltd. | $4.5B | 65 |
Peer medians: ROE 3.7% · P/E 25.3x · Gross margin 57.4%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.