CHRD
Strong BuyFull HouseAI neutralChord Energy Corporation · Energy · United States · $8.6B cap · $102.7M/day traded
$136.49 +3.1% · close 6 Nov · scored 7 Nov
StockRank up 1.1 since 6 Nov: Momentum up 3 after a 3% price rise.
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, and the market agrees.
As of 7 Nov 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) is 95/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 63, Value 72, Momentum 68, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how each tenth of the ranking did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Chord Energy is one of the largest Williston Basin (Bakken) oil producers. It combines low-cost inventory with a disciplined capital return policy, and it recently sold non-operated Marcellus gas assets to concentrate on its core oil acreage. It is a direct beneficiary of a persistent Middle East risk premium in crude. The company retired about 7.79% of its shares over 90 days, and forward earnings estimates rose about 12% in a month. Against that, oil production is a commodity business with depleting reserves. Crude is already trading lower as Gulf exports recover, and returns depend on the oil price rather than on any durable pricing power.
ABOUT CHORD ENERGY CORPORATION
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Chord Energy Corporation is an independent exploration and production company focused exclusively on the acquisition, exploitation, development, and production of oil and natural gas in the Williston Basin. The company capitalizes on its deep operational expertise and efficient development strategies within this prolific unconventional resource play. Chord Energy prioritizes shareholder returns while maintaining a strong balance sheet and optimizing production from its high-quality asset base.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3.6B | 3.9B | 5.3B | 4.9B | 10.2% | 6.0B | 7.3B | 6.2B | 12.9% |
| EPS | 60.86 | 24.59 | 16.32 | 0.74 | -77.0% | 14.86 | 23.04 | 20.01 | 420.0% |
| Shares | 41.5M | 41.2M | 60.1M | 56.8M | +36.9% | 54.7M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 491.1M | 535.4M | 1.0B | 1.6B | 49.0% | 1.5B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 4.7B | 5.1B | 8.7B | 8.1B | 20.0% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 1.9B | 1.8B | 2.1B | 2.0B | 2.0% | 2.6B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -682.6M | -1.4B | -1.8B | -1.8B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -823.1M | -664.7M | -624.5M | -82.1M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 15% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 53% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 41% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Energy, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CHRD are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHRD | Chord Energy Corporation(you) | $8.6B | 95 | Strong Buy |
| SM | SM Energy Company | $9.5B | 94 | Strong Buy |
| MTDR | Matador Resources Company | $7.4B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| AR | Antero Resources Corporation | $12.3B | 89 | Strong Buy |
| APA | APA Corporation | $18.2B | 97 | Strong Buy |
| MGY | Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | $7.2B | 80 | Buy |
| RRC | Range Resources Corporation | $10.6B | 80 | Buy |
| CNX | CNX Resources Corporation | $5.4B | 83 | Strong Buy |
| OVV.TO | Ovintiv Inc. | $20.0B | 87 | Strong Buy |
| PR | Permian Resources Corporation | $21.3B | 88 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 9.4% · P/E 17.1x · Gross margin 43.6%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.