MGY

Strong BuyUnloved QualityFLAG

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation · Energy · United States · $6.4B · Avg Vol: $92M/d

Unloved Quality: Strong and cheap, but the market has not turned yet. Patience required.

84
StockRank
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Quality
83
Value
50
Momentum
47
P/E (TTM)
11.0x
peers 17.2x
ROE
20.9%
peers 9.9%
D/E
0.2x
peers 0.5x
Dividend %
2.6%
trailing yield
AI CONVICTION THESIS

Insufficient evidence for a screen-pass. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation: fails the quant gate on value, momentum (Q83/V47/M46; every leg must be >= 50). Absence of evidence is neutral; nothing adverse is known.

The ranks quoted here are from the day it was written; today's Quality, Value and Momentum are the bars above.

ABOUT MAGNOLIA OIL & GAS CORPORATION

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Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations in South Texas. The company emphasizes a disciplined capital allocation strategy and high-return, low-risk development within its established acreage. This concentrated, high-quality asset base and focus on free cash flow generation provide a competitive edge in the U.S. onshore energy sector.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year2022202320242025CAGRTTM2026E2027EFwd CAGR
Revenue1.7B1.2B1.3B1.3B-8.2%1.5B2.0B2.7B44.1%
EPS4.732.041.941.73-28.5%2.293.043.2737.5%
Shares192.0M183.2M189.4M181.2M-5.6%
Debt390.4M392.8M404.7M411.5M1.8%413.1M
Equity1.6B1.7B1.9B1.9B7.2%
Op CF1.3B855.8M920.9M878.6M-12.2%1.0B
Inv CF-518.9M-814.9M-655.1M-540.7M
Fin CF-469.3M-315.2M-406.8M-331.2M
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y)+0.4%
25.0825.9526.8127.6828.55Aug 7Aug 28Sep 18
SMA 50SMA 200

Close
$25.18
RSI (14)
43.2
52W High
$32.33
From 52W High
0.8%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
83
ROIC
21.5%90.5
ROE
20.9%82.2
GP/Assets
41.9%92.1
Op. Margin
50.7%89.5
FCF/Assets
18.8%94.7
Piotroski
664.5
Int. Cover
23.9x84.3
D/E Ratio
0.19x68.3
Current Ratio
1.58x58.6
Value
50
P/E (TTM)
11.0x67.9
EV/EBITDA
6.0x60.5
P/FCF
11.7x51.6
P/B
2.1x36.7
P/S
4.7x17.2
Div Yield
2.6%37.4
Momentum
47
52W High %
78%39.6
RS 6M
-33%14.2
SMA 50/200
0.99x35.6
EPS Rev 4W
+2.7%72.9
EPS Rev 12W
+25.9%89.9
EPS Improve
+44%51.8
Q Growth
133%70.4

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$6.4B
P/E (Forward)
7.6x
Gross Margin
82.2%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Energy, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of MGY are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corporation(you)$6.4B84Strong Buy
MTDRMatador Resources Company$7.0B87Strong Buy
CRGYCrescent Energy Company$5.3B78Buy
CHRDChord Energy Corporation$8.0B93Strong Buy
MURMurphy Oil Corporation$5.1B72Buy
TALOTalos Energy Inc.$2.8B82Strong Buy
SMSM Energy Company$8.7B98Strong Buy
OVVOvintiv Inc.$17.9B84Strong Buy
KRPKimbell Royalty Partners, LP$2.0B86Strong Buy
BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P.$3.2B73Buy

Peer medians: ROE 9.9% · P/E 17.2x · Gross margin 43.5%

Company Deep Dive

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Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY): Stock Score Summary

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) has a MoatMap StockRank of 84/100 based on Quality (83/100), Value (50/100), and Momentum (47/100) factor scores. The current signal is STRONG BUY. Insufficient evidence for a screen-pass. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation: fails the quant gate on value, momentum (Q83/V47/M46; every leg must be >= 50). Absence of evidence is neutral; nothing adverse is known.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations in South Texas. The company emphasizes a disciplined capital allocation strategy and high-return, low-risk development within its established acreage. This concentrated, high-quality asset base and focus on free cash flow generation provide a competitive edge in the U.S. onshore energy sector.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$25.18
Market Cap$6.4B
P/E (TTM)11.00
P/E (Forward)7.63
Price/Book2.13
Return on Equity20.9%
Return on Invested Capital21.5%
Debt/Equity0.19x
Gross Margin82.2%
Operating Margin50.7%
Revenue Growth50.1%
Dividend Yield2.6%
Free Cash Flow$546M

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation operates in the Oil & Gas E&P industry, part of the Energy sector (United States).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation’s (MGY) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) is 84/100, with a Strong Buy signal. It is a composite of Quality (83), Value (50), and Momentum (47) factor ranks across MoatMap’s universe of 25,000+ stocks.
Does Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation have an economic moat?
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) has a Quality factor score of 83/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) is Strong Buy, based on a StockRank of 84/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation in?
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) operates in the Energy sector, specifically the Oil & Gas E&P industry (United States).