DVA
Strong BuyFull HouseAI neutralDaVita Inc. · Healthcare · United States · $11.7B cap · $119.8M/day traded
$181.78 +1.4% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
StockRank down 1.9 since 13 Oct.
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
Read our full research report on DVA (Jun 2026), freeReport expected 28 Oct: the next-year EPS estimate has been little changed over the last 13 weeks.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for DaVita Inc. (DVA) is 87/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 64, Value 66, Momentum 55, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
DaVita is one of the two dominant US dialysis providers, with scale advantages and steady demand from chronic kidney disease, and it has shrunk its share count heavily through buybacks. Forward earnings estimates rose 1.4% over the past month. Against that, the business depends on government reimbursement rates, carries substantial debt, faces long-term volume risk from new kidney disease drugs, recently agreed a $15M data-breach settlement, and insiders sold 0.29% of shares outstanding in 90 days.
ABOUT DAVITA INC.
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DaVita Inc. is a leading global provider of kidney dialysis services, operating an extensive network of outpatient dialysis centers across the United States and internationally. The company benefits from its significant scale, robust clinical outcomes, and integrated care model designed to improve patient health and quality of life. DaVita's competitive moat is reinforced by its strong brand recognition, established relationships within the healthcare system, and a deeply embedded role in managing chronic kidney disease.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 11.6B | 12.1B | 12.8B | 13.6B | 5.5% | 14.0B | 14.2B | 14.6B | 3.6% |
| EPS | 6.03 | 7.62 | 11.02 | 10.06 | 18.6% | 11.84 | 13.83 | 16.00 | 26.1% |
| Shares | 90.4M | 88.8M | 80.5M | 68.5M | -24.2% | 63.8M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 11.8B | 11.1B | 12.1B | 12.9B | 2.9% | 13.4B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 712.3M | 1.1B | 121.1M | -651.1M | -58.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 1.6B | 2.1B | 2.0B | 1.9B | 6.4% | 2.2B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -630.3M | -771.8M | -771.4M | -654.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -1.1B | -1.2B | -816.9M | -1.4B | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Swung more than 57% of stocks we rank over the past year (46% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Healthcare, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of DVA are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DVA | DaVita Inc.(you) | $11.7B | 87 | Strong Buy |
| EHC | Encompass Health Corporation | $12.1B | 89 | Strong Buy |
| UHS | Universal Health Services, Inc. | $10.7B | 89 | Strong Buy |
| CHE | Chemed Corporation | $6.5B | 90 | Strong Buy |
| THC | Tenet Healthcare Corporation | $20.6B | 98 | Strong Buy |
| PACS | PACS Group, Inc. | $6.5B | 75 | Buy |
| CON | Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. | $4.4B | 91 | Strong Buy |
| NHC | National HealthCare Corporation | $3.5B | 92 | Strong Buy |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | $2.7B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| ENSG | The Ensign Group, Inc. | $10.2B | 59 | Hold |
Peer medians: ROE -26.1% · P/E 29.0x · Gross margin 64.4%
Company Deep Dive
Read the full research report: business segments breakdown, earnings transcripts review, management credibility analysis, competitive landscape, and scenarios.