EFCIL.NS
Fallen FavouriteEFC (I) Limited · Real Estate · India · $258M cap · $613K/day traded
INR 166.45 -0.7% · close 12 Nov · scored 13 Nov
Fallen Favourite: A good business, still expensive, and its momentum is weak.
As of 13 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for EFC (I) Limited (EFCIL.NS) is 57/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 66, Value 49, Momentum 38, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT EFC (I) LIMITED
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EFC (I) Limited engages in real estate leasing business in India. It operates through the Rental, Interior, and Furniture segments.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (INR)
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.0B | 4.2B | 6.6B | 10.4B | 115.8% | 11.0B | 14.0B | 18.7B | 34.3% |
| EPS (INR) | 0.42 | 5.73 | 10.19 | 16.61 | 239.5% | 19.99 | 19.89 | 26.68 | 26.7% |
| Shares | 147.9M | 101.1M | 101.1M | 139.4M | -5.8% | 147.9M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 3.2B | 4.1B | 8.8B | 14.1B | 63.1% | 14.1B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 729.5M | 4.3B | 5.4B | 8.1B | 122.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | -509.2M | 105.4M | 1.3T | 559.7M | 130.4% | 553.4M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -354.6M | -2.6B | -1.1B | 1.1B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 885.6M | 2.6B | -190.2M | -1.7B | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low 6 trading days ago, 47% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Swung more than 50% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 42% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling (this stock): It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor: It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend: It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of EFCIL.NS are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| EFCIL.NS | EFC (I) Limited(you) | $258M | 57 |
| INDIQUBE.NS | IndiQube Spaces Limited | $346M | 63 |
| NIRLON.NS | Nirlon Limited | $593M | 62 |
| AURUM.NS | Aurum PropTech Limited | $218M | 35 |
| ELPROINTL.NS | Elpro International Limited | $294M | 32 |
| TEXINFRA.NS | Texmaco Infrastructure & Holdings Limited | $158M | 37 |
| TREL.NS | Transindia Real Estate Limited | $60M | 60 |
| SMARTWORKS.NS | Smartworks Coworking Spaces Limited | $530M | 77 |
| ELDEHSG.NS | Eldeco Housing and Industries Limited | $82M | 69 |
| SCILAL.NS | Shipping Corporation of India Land and Assets Limited | $171M | 13 |
Peer medians: ROE 7.6% · P/E 24.7x · Gross margin 48.7%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.