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EL

STRONG SELLREMOVE

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. · Consumer Defensive · United States · $32.9B · Avg Vol: $308M/d

17
StockRank
Q
39
V
26
M
40
P/E (TTM)
ROE
-5.9%
D/E
2.3x
Dividend %
1.6%
AI CONVICTION THESIS

Estée Lauder is a premium brand but is currently a broken business model suffering from structural channel shifts in China and inventory mismanagement, violating our rule against turnarounds.

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures and markets prestige skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products through a portfolio of well-known luxury and specialty brands. The company benefits from strong brand equity, global distribution, significant R&D investment, and an ability to anticipate and set beauty trends in the premium segment. Estée Lauder is a market leader in the global prestige beauty industry, targeting affluent consumers with high-quality, innovative products.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year2022202320242025CAGR
Revenue17.7B15.9B15.6B14.3B-6.9%
EPS6.642.811.09-3.15-59.5%
Shares593M595M597M598M+0.8%
Debt7.6B10.2B9.8B9.5B7.4%
Equity5.6B5.6B5.3B3.9B-11.6%
Op CF3.0B1.7B2.4B1.3B-25.2%
Inv CF-945M-3.2B-960M-623M
Fin CF-3.0B1.6B-2.0B-1.1B
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PRICE (1M)-4.9%
76.1479.9083.6787.4391.20May 6May 28Jun 17
SMA 50SMA 200
Close
$82.46
RSI (14)
34.7
52W High
$120.79
From 52W High
0.7%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
39
ROIC
-4.7%7.1
ROE
-5.9%9.4
GP/Assets
55.7%85.1
Op. Margin
14.9%76.5
FCF/Assets
9.1%80.7
Piotroski
34.6
Int. Cover
-1.9x7.9
D/E Ratio
2.33x5.7
Current Ratio
1.27x37.4
Value
26
P/E (TTM)
N/A
EV/EBITDA
16.4x19.8
P/FCF
18.2x49.0
P/B
8.1x6.2
P/S
2.2x22.0
Div Yield
1.6%27.1
Momentum
40
52W High %
68%31.2
RS 6M
-27%44.7
SMA 50/200
0.88x18.7
EPS Rev 4W
N/A
EPS Rev 12W
N/A
EPS Improve
+555%95.5
Q Growth
-44%11.3

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$32.9B
P/E (Forward)
28.2x
Gross Margin
74.7%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of EL are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
ELThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc.(you)$32.9B17STRONG SELL
CXU.DEChurch & Dwight Co., Inc.$23.0B35HOLD
KMY.DEKimberly-Clark Corporation$32.9B54HOLD
ELFe.l.f. Beauty, Inc.$3.4B6STRONG SELL
KVUEKenvue Inc.$33.9B73BUY
COTYCoty Inc.$2.0B18STRONG SELL
CLXThe Clorox Company$11.6B55HOLD
CPA.DEColgate-Palmolive Company$72.5B76BUY
PGThe Procter & Gamble Company$339.8B60HOLD
NWLNewell Brands Inc.$1.5B63HOLD

Peer medians: ROE 13.8% · P/E 21.8x · Gross margin 34.0%

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) — Stock Score Summary

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) has a MoatMap StockRank of 17/100 based on Quality (39/100), Value (26/100), and Momentum (40/100) factor scores. The current signal is STRONG SELL. Estée Lauder is a premium brand but is currently a broken business model suffering from structural channel shifts in China and inventory mismanagement, violating our rule against turnarounds.

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures and markets prestige skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products through a portfolio of well-known luxury and specialty brands. The company benefits from strong brand equity, global distribution, significant R&D investment, and an ability to anticipate and set beauty trends in the premium segment. Estée Lauder is a market leader in the global prestige beauty industry, targeting affluent consumers with high-quality, innovative products.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$82.46
Market Cap$32.9B
P/E (Forward)28.16
Price/Book8.13
Return on Equity-5.9%
Return on Invested Capital-4.7%
Debt/Equity232.91
Gross Margin74.7%
Operating Margin14.9%
Revenue Growth4.6%
Dividend Yield1.6%
Free Cash Flow$1.8B

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. operates in the Household & Personal Products industry, part of the Consumer Defensive sector (United States).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.’s (EL) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) is 17/100, with a Strong Sell signal. It is a composite of Quality (39), Value (26), and Momentum (40) factor ranks across MoatMap’s 20,000+ stock universe.
Does The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. have an economic moat?
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) has a Quality factor score of 39/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage — the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) is Strong Sell, based on a StockRank of 17/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many — combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. in?
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically the Household & Personal Products industry (United States).