FTDR
BuyPremium GrowerAI neutralFrontdoor, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · United States · $5.8B cap · $57.3M/day traded
$84.52 +0.7% · close 27 Oct · scored 28 Oct
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
Report expected 4 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has risen 1.5% over the last 14 weeks.
As of 28 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR) is 80/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 78, Value 31, Momentum 68, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Frontdoor runs American Home Shield, the largest US home warranty business, and returned to organic growth in its second quarter of 2026 for the first time in five years while buying back about 4% of its shares in 90 days. Cash generation is strong, but the product faces customer satisfaction and churn challenges, and one quarter of growth is not yet a durable trend.
ABOUT FRONTDOOR, INC.
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Frontdoor, Inc. is the leading provider of home service plans (home warranties) in the United States, connecting homeowners with qualified service professionals for repairs and replacements of major home systems and appliances. The company benefits from significant scale, a vast network of vetted contractors, and proprietary technology to efficiently manage service requests. Frontdoor is the undisputed market leader in the U.S. home warranty industry, primarily through its American Home Shield brand.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.7B | 1.8B | 1.8B | 2.1B | 8.0% | 2.1B | 2.2B | 2.3B | 5.4% |
| EPS | 0.87 | 2.13 | 3.05 | 3.48 | 58.7% | 3.79 | 3.98 | 4.36 | 11.9% |
| Shares | 81.5M | 78.4M | 75.3M | 71.0M | -13.0% | 68.9M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 627.0M | 610.0M | 1.2B | 1.2B | 23.8% | 1.2B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 61.0M | 137.0M | 239.0M | 242.0M | 58.3% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 142.0M | 202.0M | 270.0M | 416.0M | 43.1% | 410.0M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -35.0M | -32.0M | -622.0M | 31.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -77.0M | -137.0M | 447.0M | -302.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 10% below its 52-week high.
Swung more than 58% of stocks we rank over the past year (47% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of FTDR are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTDR | Frontdoor, Inc.(you) | $5.8B | 80 | Buy |
| HRB | H&R Block, Inc. | $6.1B | 95 | Strong Buy |
| ANDG | Andersen Group Inc. | $1.2B | 73 | Buy |
| BFAM | Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. | $3.5B | 44 | Hold |
| SCI | Service Corporation International | $11.4B | 34 | Sell |
| ROL | Rollins, Inc. | $16.8B | 26 | Sell |
| CSV | Carriage Services, Inc. | $562M | 36 | Hold |
| MED | Medifast, Inc. | $133M | 56 | Hold |
| CROX | Crocs, Inc. | $5.7B | 80 | Buy |
| RGS | Regis Corporation | $73M | 66 | Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 8.5% · P/E 19.2x · Gross margin 37.3%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.