GDF.AX
Strong BuyFull HouseAI neutralGarda Property Group · Real Estate · Australia · $145M cap · $51K/day traded
AUD 1.02 +0.0% · close 21 Oct · scored 22 Oct
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
As of 22 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Garda Property Group (GDF.AX) is 87/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 59, Value 63, Momentum 63, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Garda owns industrial property in Queensland and runs a property lending book. Profits have recovered, but commentary highlights investor concern about debt, and a small property group funded partly with borrowing is exposed to rates staying higher for longer.
ABOUT GARDA PROPERTY GROUP
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Garda Property Group is a vertically integrated Australian real estate company that owns, manages, and develops commercial and industrial properties. The group focuses on high-growth industrial corridors in Queensland and Victoria, maintaining a portfolio of high-occupancy, rent-yielding assets. Its competitive moat is established through its in-house development capabilities, which allow it to generate superior capital growth and yield compared to pure-play property trusts.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (AUD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 33.7M | 31.6M | 30.7M | 25.2M | -9.2% | 38.1M | 25.5M | 30.4M | 6.4% |
| EPS (AUD) | 0.63 | -0.02 | -0.19 | -0.03 | — | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.15 | -21.4% |
| Shares | 227.6M | 227.2M | 218.3M | 216.8M | -4.8% | 217.6M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 259.0M | 224.3M | 216.9M | 269.7M | 1.4% | 160.1M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 428.1M | 408.4M | 342.6M | 322.2M | -9.0% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 17.9M | 11.8M | 6.6M | -5.7M | -39.6% | -70.7M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -47.8M | 32.2M | 30.5M | -25.6M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 34.1M | -50.7M | -33.2M | 38.4M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Calmer than 89% of stocks we rank over the past year (21% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of GDF.AX are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDF.AX | Garda Property Group(you) | $145M | 87 | Strong Buy |
| SRV.AX | Servcorp Limited | $413M | 87 | Strong Buy |
| EGH.AX | Eureka Group Holdings Limited | $242M | 56 | Hold |
| GDI.AX | GDI Property Group | $239M | 53 | Hold |
| LED.AX | LDR Capital Property Fund | $105M | 22 | Sell |
| FRI.AX | Finbar Group Limited | $134M | 99 | Strong Buy |
| CDP.AX | Carindale Property Trust | $316M | 85 | Strong Buy |
| CWP.AX | Cedar Woods Properties Limited | $388M | 77 | Buy |
| PPC.AX | Peet Limited | $551M | 83 | Strong Buy |
| DXC.AX | Dexus Convenience Retail REIT | $261M | 68 | Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 8.1% · P/E 9.5x · Gross margin 70.9%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.