GGRM.JK
Strong BuyFull HouseAI neutralPT Gudang Garam Tbk · Consumer Defensive · Indonesia · $1.9B
IDR 16,900 +2.0% · close 2 Oct · scored 3 Oct
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
PT Gudang Garam trades at an optically depressed valuation supported by stable brand positioning in the domestic tobacco market. Nonetheless, financial quality metrics remain constrained and forward earnings projections continue to drift lower.
ABOUT PT GUDANG GARAM TBK
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PT Gudang Garam Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Cigarettes, Paperboards, Infrastructure, and Others segments.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (IDR)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 124.7T | 119.0T | 98.7T | 89.4T | -10.5% | 86.2T | 84.5T | 85.3T | -2.3% |
| EPS (IDR) | 1,445 | 2,767 | 510.00 | 809.00 | -17.6% | 2,295 | 2,194 | 2,150 | 63.0% |
| Shares | 1.9B | 1.9B | 1.9B | 1.9B | 0.0% | 1.9B | — | — | — |
| Debt | 10.1T | 13.4T | 9.4T | 761.9B | -57.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Equity | 57.9T | 60.9T | 61.9T | 62.6T | 2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 9.9T | 4.4T | 6.5T | 11.6T | 5.6% | 12.2T | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -5.3T | -5.5T | -3.1T | -2.1T | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -4.6T | 1.0T | -3.8T | -9.5T | — | — | — | — | — |
Swung more than 65% of stocks we rank over the past year (51% a year).
How this is worked out
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of GGRM.JK are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GGRM.JK | PT Gudang Garam Tbk(you) | $1.9B | 99 | Strong Buy |
| HMSP.JK | PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk | $4.1B | 98 | Strong Buy |
| WIIM.JK | PT Wismilak Inti Makmur Tbk | $178M | 97 | Strong Buy |
| TAPG.JK | PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk | $2.2B | 99 | Strong Buy |
| ULTJ.JK | PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Company Tbk | $1.2B | 99 | Strong Buy |
| SMAR.JK | PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk | $999M | 100 | Strong Buy |
| MYOR.JK | PT Mayora Indah Tbk | $1.8B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| INDF.JK | PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk | $3.4B | 96 | Strong Buy |
| AALI.JK | PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk | $836M | 99 | Strong Buy |
| MLBI.JK | PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk | $807M | 100 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 16.9% · P/E 8.8x · Gross margin 28.2%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.