HPK

HoldHot AirFLAG

HighPeak Energy, Inc. · Energy · United States · $1.0B · Avg Vol: $4M/d

Hot Air: Rising on momentum alone: weak business, rich price.

61
StockRank
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Quality
37
Value
50
Momentum
68
P/E (TTM)
peers 17.2x
ROE
-5.5%
peers 10.1%
D/E
0.8x
peers 0.5x
Dividend %
1.0%
trailing yield
AI CONVICTION THESIS

Insufficient evidence for a screen-pass. HighPeak Energy, Inc.: fails the quant gate on quality (Q37/V50/M73; every leg must be >= 50). Absence of evidence is neutral; nothing adverse is known.

The ranks quoted here are from the day it was written; today's Quality, Value and Momentum are the bars above.

ABOUT HIGHPEAK ENERGY, INC.

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HighPeak Energy, Inc. operates as an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration and production company. It engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas and Eastern New Mexico.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year2022202320242025CAGRTTM2026E2027EFwd CAGR
Revenue755.7M1.1B1.1B863.4M4.5%862.9M938.7M787.9M-4.5%
EPS2.041.640.690.13-60.1%-0.69
Shares113.2M128.4M126.1M125.3M+10.7%126.5M
Debt704.7M1.2B1.0B1.2B19.2%1.2B
Equity1.2B1.6B1.6B1.6B10.9%
Op CF504.0M756.4M690.4M511.6M0.5%393.9M
Inv CF-1.2B-1.1B-620.8M-515.3M
Fin CF674.0M533.6M-177.4M79.2M
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y)+15.7%
7.207.567.928.288.64Aug 7Aug 28Sep 18
SMA 50SMA 200

Close
$8.33
RSI (14)
54.1
52W High
$9.13
From 52W High
0.9%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
37
ROIC
-1.2%22.2
ROE
-5.5%19.9
GP/Assets
19.4%58.4
Op. Margin
29.5%71.6
FCF/Assets
0.7%33.7
Piotroski
544.7
Int. Cover
-0.2x19.2
D/E Ratio
0.77x28.7
Current Ratio
0.86x21.4
Value
50
P/E (TTM)
N/A
EV/EBITDA
3.6x87.2
P/FCF
46.2x12.6
P/B
0.7x89.8
P/S
1.2x58.8
Div Yield
1.0%11.9
Momentum
68
52W High %
91%67.4
RS 6M
6%71.3
SMA 50/200
1.20x87.4
EPS Rev 4W
0.0%44.8
EPS Rev 12W
N/A
EPS Improve
+68%59.0
Q Growth
214%80.1

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$1.0B
P/E (Forward)
-37.9x
Gross Margin
72.2%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Energy, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of HPK are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
HPKHighPeak Energy, Inc.(you)$1.0B61Hold
GRNTGranite Ridge Resources, Inc.$667M57Hold
MNRMach Natural Resources LP$2.1B64Hold
WTIW&T Offshore, Inc.$539M50Hold
GPORGulfport Energy Corporation$3.1B65Hold
INRInfinity Natural Resources, Inc.$287M62Hold
NOGNorthern Oil and Gas, Inc.$2.7B53Hold
VTSVitesse Energy, Inc.$724M39Hold
KOS.LKosmos Energy Ltd.$1.5B40Hold
BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P.$3.2B73Buy

Peer medians: ROE 10.1% · P/E 17.2x · Gross margin 43.5%

Company Deep Dive

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HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK): Stock Score Summary

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) has a MoatMap StockRank of 61/100 based on Quality (37/100), Value (50/100), and Momentum (68/100) factor scores. The current signal is HOLD. Insufficient evidence for a screen-pass. HighPeak Energy, Inc.: fails the quant gate on quality (Q37/V50/M73; every leg must be >= 50). Absence of evidence is neutral; nothing adverse is known.

HighPeak Energy, Inc. operates as an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration and production company. It engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas and Eastern New Mexico.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$8.33
Market Cap$1.0B
P/E (Forward)-37.86
Price/Book0.68
Return on Equity-5.5%
Return on Invested Capital-1.2%
Debt/Equity0.77x
Gross Margin72.2%
Operating Margin29.5%
Revenue Growth25.8%
Dividend Yield1.0%
Free Cash Flow$22M

HighPeak Energy, Inc. operates in the Oil & Gas E&P industry, part of the Energy sector (United States).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is HighPeak Energy, Inc.’s (HPK) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) is 61/100, with a Hold signal. It is a composite of Quality (37), Value (50), and Momentum (68) factor ranks across MoatMap’s universe of 25,000+ stocks.
Does HighPeak Energy, Inc. have an economic moat?
HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) has a Quality factor score of 37/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is HighPeak Energy, Inc. a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) is Hold, based on a StockRank of 61/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is HighPeak Energy, Inc. in?
HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) operates in the Energy sector, specifically the Oil & Gas E&P industry (United States).