REPX
Strong BuyFull HouseAI neutralRiley Exploration Permian, Inc. · Energy · United States · $891M cap · $15.6M/day traded
$46.26 +2.0% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
Report expected 4 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has fallen 1.1% over the last 13 weeks.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) is 94/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 69, Value 61, Momentum 68, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Although the stock aligns with the Energy theme, the presence of significant insider selling (0.23% of o/s) forces a 'Flag' status regardless of other metrics. We need clarity on management's outlook before considering approval.
ABOUT RILEY EXPLORATION PERMIAN, INC.
Read
Riley Exploration Permian is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, exploration, and production of oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin. The company's operations are concentrated in the Northwest Shelf, where it utilizes advanced horizontal drilling and completion techniques to maximize recovery. Its contiguous acreage position and focus on capital efficiency enable low-cost development and consistent free cash flow generation.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 321.7M | 375.0M | 410.2M | 392.0M | 6.8% | 483.9M | 579.5M | 621.3M | 25.9% |
| EPS | 6.04 | 5.66 | 4.29 | 7.61 | 8.0% | 5.62 | 10.73 | 13.68 | 34.1% |
| Shares | 20.2M | 20.4M | 21.5M | 21.7M | +7.7% | 21.7M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 60.6M | 362.0M | 277.2M | 255.0M | 61.4% | 267.5M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 333.4M | 421.6M | 510.6M | 634.2M | 23.9% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 170.3M | 207.2M | 246.3M | 212.5M | 7.7% | 239.2M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -128.3M | -469.6M | -147.8M | -145.8M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -37.0M | 264.4M | -100.6M | -62.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 1% below its 52-week high.
Swung more than 54% of stocks we rank over the past year (44% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Energy, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of REPX are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPX | Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.(you) | $891M | 94 | Strong Buy |
| DMLP | Dorchester Minerals, L.P. | $1.4B | 95 | Strong Buy |
| SD | SandRidge Energy, Inc. | $520M | 86 | Strong Buy |
| HPK | HighPeak Energy, Inc. | $998M | 74 | Buy |
| KRP | Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP | $1.9B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| TAL.TO | PetroTal Corp. | $372M | 79 | Buy |
| TALO | Talos Energy Inc. | $2.8B | 80 | Strong Buy |
| KEI.TO | Kolibri Global Energy Inc. | $232M | 84 | Strong Buy |
| PNRG | PrimeEnergy Resources Corporation | $311M | 76 | Buy |
| CHRD | Chord Energy Corporation | $7.5B | 95 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 10.5% · P/E 17.6x · Gross margin 43.5%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.