JOE
Premium GrowerThe St. Joe Company · Real Estate · United States · $3.8B cap · $16.1M/day traded
$71.06 -1.1% · close 12 Nov · scored 13 Nov
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
As of 13 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for The St. Joe Company (JOE) is 67/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 82, Value 19, Momentum 62, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT THE ST. JOE COMPANY
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The St. Joe Company is a U.S. real estate development and operating company with significant landholdings in Northwest Florida, focused on master-planned communities, commercial properties, and hospitality assets. The company benefits from its substantial undeveloped land bank, strategic location in a growing region, and integrated approach to community development. Its long-term strategy involves monetizing its land assets through phased development and recurring revenue streams from commercial and hospitality operations.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 252.3M | 389.3M | 402.7M | 513.2M | 26.7% | 542.9M |
| EPS | 1.21 | 1.33 | 1.27 | 2.00 | 18.2% | 2.11 |
| Shares | 58.3M | 58.4M | 58.3M | 57.5M | -1.4% | 56.5M |
| Debt | 564.7M | 632.9M | 621.0M | 572.7M | 0.5% | 542.5M |
| Equity | 630.8M | 683.1M | 724.3M | 766.3M | 6.7% | — |
| Op CF | 48.2M | 103.8M | 108.0M | 190.7M | 58.1% | 188.3M |
| Inv CF | -189.8M | -99.1M | -50.4M | -26.2M | — | — |
| Fin CF | 112.5M | 40.8M | -52.1M | -124.3M | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 6% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 75% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 29% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling: It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor: It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend (this stock): It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of JOE are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOE | The St. Joe Company(you) | $3.8B | 67 |
| CDP | COPT Defense Properties | $3.9B | 65 |
| HIW | Highwoods Properties, Inc. | $3.4B | 65 |
| PK | Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | $3.3B | 66 |
| MRP | Millrose Properties, Inc. | $4.0B | 71 |
| OUT | OUTFRONT Media Inc. | $5.5B | 67 |
| STRS | Stratus Properties Inc. | $142M | 25 |
| PECO | Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. | $5.4B | 65 |
| COLD | Americold Realty Trust, Inc. | $4.2B | 77 |
| CUZ | Cousins Properties Incorporated | $4.8B | 60 |
Peer medians: ROE 4.2% · P/E 23.9x · Gross margin 65.7%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.