KSS
Strong BuySecond WindAI concernKohl's Corporation · Consumer Cyclical · United States · $2.8B cap · $100.5M/day traded
$23.34 -1.9% · close 28 Oct · scored 28 Oct
Second Wind: Cheap and rising again, but the business does not yet earn the optimism.
Strong on the numbers, but the AI review named a specific concern. Its reason is in the AI review below.
Report expected 24 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has risen 5.5% over the last 14 weeks.
As of 28 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Kohl's Corporation (KSS) is 91/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 49, Value 77, Momentum 68, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Kohl's is a US department store chain in structural decline. Comparable sales have fallen for several years, the dividend was cut sharply in 2025, and the Sephora shop-in-shop partnership that was meant to drive traffic is now slumping, according to the CEO's own comments. The company is turning to Babies R Us and DoorDash delivery to revive traffic, and insiders were net sellers in the last 90 days. The low valuation reflects a shrinking business, not a mispriced one.
ABOUT KOHL'S CORPORATION
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Kohl's Corporation operates a national chain of department stores across the United States, offering a broad assortment of private and national brand apparel, footwear, accessories, and home products. The company differentiates itself through a value-oriented positioning, convenient off-mall locations, and a strong loyalty program designed to drive repeat customer engagement. Kohl's maintains a significant footprint in the competitive U.S. retail market, focusing on omnichannel capabilities.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 19.4B | 18.1B | 17.5B | 16.2B | 15.5B | -5.5% | 15.4B | 15.7B | 15.7B | 0.6% |
| EPS | 6.41 | -0.15 | 2.88 | 0.98 | 2.43 | -21.5% | 2.33 | 3.21 | 2.34 | -1.8% |
| Shares | 377.0M | 111.0M | 110.7M | 111.3M | 112.0M | -70.3% | 113.4M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 6.8B | 7.6B | 7.4B | 7.2B | 6.6B | -0.6% | 6.4B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 4.7B | 3.8B | 3.9B | 3.8B | 4.0B | -3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 2.3B | 282.0M | 1.2B | 648.0M | 1.4B | -11.7% | 1.4B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -570.0M | -783.0M | -562.0M | -467.0M | -333.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -2.4B | -933.0M | -576.0M | -230.0M | -507.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 5% below its 52-week high.
Swung more than 85% of stocks we rank over the past year (74% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of KSS are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSS | Kohl's Corporation(you) | $2.8B | 91 | Strong Buy |
| M | Macy's, Inc. | $6.3B | 94 | Strong Buy |
| DDS | Dillard's, Inc. | $10.9B | 85 | Strong Buy |
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | $3.7B | 90 | Strong Buy |
| TILE | Interface, Inc. | $2.1B | 88 | Strong Buy |
| BBWI | Bath & Body Works, Inc. | $4.2B | 92 | Strong Buy |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | $3.0B | 82 | Strong Buy |
| YETI | YETI Holdings, Inc. | $3.1B | 82 | Strong Buy |
| FIGS | FIGS, Inc. | $3.4B | 81 | Strong Buy |
| SBH | Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | $1.6B | 95 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 8.5% · P/E 19.9x · Gross margin 37.3%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.