DDS
Strong BuyPremium GrowerAI neutralDillard's, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · United States · $10.9B cap · $107.4M/day traded
$665.60 -0.8% · close 27 Oct · scored 28 Oct
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
As of 28 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Dillard's, Inc. (DDS) is 85/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 81, Value 36, Momentum 66, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Dillard's is a family-controlled US department store chain known for disciplined inventory and full-price selling. It has an exceptional record of shrinking its share count through buybacks and maintains a conservative balance sheet. Capital allocation is shareholder-friendly, and quality scores are high. The department store channel is in long-term decline, though, as rivals such as J.C. Penney lose share and discount. Middle-income consumers are exposed to fuel and grocery inflation. Recent margins likely sit near a cyclical peak.
ABOUT DILLARD'S, INC.
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Dillard's, Inc. is a leading fashion apparel and home furnishings retailer operating department stores primarily in the southeastern and southwestern United States. The company offers a wide selection of merchandise, including national brands and its own private-label goods, aiming for an upscale shopping experience. As a traditional department store chain, it navigates a challenging retail environment by focusing on customer service, curated offerings, and strategic real estate assets.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 7.0B | 6.9B | 6.6B | 6.6B | -2.1% | 6.6B | 6.6B | 6.7B | 0.8% |
| EPS | 50.81 | 44.73 | 36.82 | 36.42 | -10.5% | 43.64 | 37.18 | 35.64 | -1.1% |
| Shares | 17.1M | 16.2M | 15.9M | 15.6M | -8.9% | 11.9M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 555.2M | 564.4M | 555.3M | 557.6M | 0.1% | 456.8M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 1.6B | 1.7B | 1.8B | 1.8B | 3.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 948.4M | 883.6M | 714.1M | 717.0M | -8.9% | 724.4M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -235.9M | -115.6M | -269.7M | 22.5M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -769.0M | -620.0M | -534.8M | -595.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 8% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 51% of stocks we rank over the past year (41% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of DDS are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DDS | Dillard's, Inc.(you) | $10.9B | 85 | Strong Buy |
| M | Macy's, Inc. | $6.3B | 94 | Strong Buy |
| KSS | Kohl's Corporation | $2.8B | 91 | Strong Buy |
| CCK | Crown Holdings, Inc. | $12.8B | 82 | Strong Buy |
| ETSY | Etsy, Inc. | $8.0B | 87 | Strong Buy |
| MHK | Mohawk Industries, Inc. | $8.4B | 81 | Strong Buy |
| CART | Maplebear Inc. | $13.4B | 89 | Strong Buy |
| HAS | Hasbro, Inc. | $16.6B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| GAP | The Gap, Inc. | $7.8B | 82 | Strong Buy |
| EAT | Brinker International, Inc. | $7.7B | 81 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 8.5% · P/E 19.9x · Gross margin 37.3%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.