MBLY
SinkerMobileye Global Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Israel · $5.6B cap · $45.1M/day traded
$5.64 -2.4% · close 12 Nov · scored 13 Nov
Sinker: Weak business, rich price and weak momentum. Nothing here to keep it afloat.
Around its 29 Oct results, analysts cut next year's EPS estimate 1.8%.
As of 13 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) is 19/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 34, Value 39, Momentum 27, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT MOBILEYE GLOBAL INC.
Read
Mobileye Global Inc. is a leading developer and deployer of advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies, leveraging proprietary computer vision, machine learning, and mapping solutions. The company holds a dominant market position through its widely adopted EyeQ® chip series and extensive partnerships with global automakers, establishing a formidable competitive moat built on deep expertise, significant data advantages, and high switching costs for integrated automotive platforms.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 1.9B | 2.1B | 1.7B | 1.9B | 0.4% | 2.0B | 2.0B | 2.2B | 7.0% |
| EPS | -0.09 | -0.35 | -0.10 | -12.28 | -1.55 | — | -4.92 | — | — | — |
| Shares | — | 252.4M | 252.4M | 252.4M | 252.4M | 0.0% | 252.4M | — | — | — |
| Debt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Equity | — | 14.8B | 14.9B | 12.1B | 11.9B | -7.0% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | — | 546.0M | 394.0M | 400.0M | 602.0M | 3.3% | 416.0M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | — | 1.2B | -98.0M | -120.0M | -91.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | — | -1.3B | -100.0M | -66.0M | -106.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low 5 trading days ago, 61% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Swung more than 73% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 59% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling (this stock): It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor: It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend: It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of MBLY are excluded.
Peer medians: ROE -48.9% · P/E 48.8x · Gross margin 25.9%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.