MPT
Bargain BinMedical Properties Trust, Inc. · Real Estate · United States · $1.6B cap · $32.6M/day traded
$1.67 -2.3% · close 13 Nov · scored 14 Nov
Bargain Bin: Looks like a bargain; the quality and the trend say why it is in the bin.
As of 14 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT) is 36/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 46, Value 75, Momentum 6, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT MEDICAL PROPERTIES TRUST, INC.
Read
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. is a leading healthcare real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the acquisition and ownership of hospitals and other healthcare facilities. The company benefits from long-term, triple-net lease agreements with healthcare providers, providing a stable and predictable income stream in a growing sector. Its diversified portfolio across various healthcare property types and geographies offers a strong competitive moat.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income and shares | ||||||||||
| Revenue | — | 1.5B | 871.8M | 995.5M | 972.0M | -14.3% | 1.1B | 1.0B | 1.0B | 3.9% |
| Net margin | — | 58.5% | -63.8% | -242.1% | -28.5% | -87.0 pts | — | — | — | — |
| EPS | 1.11 | 1.50 | -0.93 | -4.02 | -0.46 | 35.1% | 0.42 | 0.34 | -0.03 | -31.0% |
| Share count | — | 597.5M | 599.0M | 600.4M | 597.0M | -0.0% | 597.2M | — | — | — |
| Balance sheet | ||||||||||
| Debt | — | 10.4B | 10.2B | 9.0B | 9.8B | -1.9% | 9.3B | — | — | — |
| Equity | — | 8.6B | 7.6B | 4.8B | 4.6B | -18.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Debt/equity | — | 1.2x | 1.3x | 1.9x | 2.1x | +0.9x | — | — | — | — |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Op. cash flow | — | 739.0M | 505.8M | 245.5M | 230.8M | -32.2% | 230.8M | — | — | — |
| Cash flow margin | — | 47.9% | 58.0% | 24.7% | 23.7% | -24.2 pts | 21.2% | — | — | — |
| Investing CF | — | 396.1M | 517.6M | 1.3B | -264.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Financing CF | — | -1.3B | -1.0B | -1.5B | 228.1M | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low in the latest session, 73% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Calmer than 52% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 41% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling (this stock): It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor: It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend: It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of MPT are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| MPT | Medical Properties Trust, Inc.(you) | $1.6B | 36 |
| DHC | Diversified Healthcare Trust | $1.9B | 31 |
| NHP | National Healthcare Properties, Inc. | $1.1B | 25 |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated | $6.2B | 32 |
| NHI | National Health Investors, Inc. | $3.3B | 55 |
| XRN | Chiron Real Estate Inc. | $434M | 50 |
| SBRA | Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. | $5.0B | 55 |
| UHT | Universal Health Realty Income Trust | $524M | 61 |
| AHR | American Healthcare REIT, Inc. | $11.6B | 48 |
| CHCT | Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated | $372M | 59 |
Peer medians: ROE 4.2% · P/E 24.0x · Gross margin 65.4%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.