MUR
Premium GrowerAI neutralMurphy Oil Corporation · Energy · United States · $6.4B cap · $59.4M/day traded
$35.96 -1.0% · close 6 Nov · scored 7 Nov
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
After its 4 Nov results, analysts cut next year's EPS estimate 1.8%.
As of 7 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) is 76/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 51, Value 49, Momentum 72, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
Murphy Oil is an offshore-focused producer in the Gulf of Mexico plus Canadian onshore gas and international exploration (including Vietnam). With Brent near $100, forecasts rose 14% in four weeks, profits increased sharply and the company is buying back shares. It is still a commodity producer whose returns swing with oil prices and whose exploration programme adds binary risk, which does not meet the quality compounder bar.
ABOUT MURPHY OIL CORPORATION
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Murphy Oil Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company with a diversified asset portfolio spanning North America and select international regions. The company's competitive advantage is derived from its balanced portfolio of conventional and unconventional resources, operational efficiency, and a track record of disciplined capital allocation. Its focus on optimizing production from existing assets and strategic exploration provides exposure to global energy markets.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4.2B | 3.4B | 3.0B | 2.7B | -13.9% | 3.1B | 3.4B | 3.3B | 10.4% |
| EPS | 6.22 | 4.26 | 2.71 | 0.73 | -51.0% | 3.22 | 4.19 | 3.73 | 126.1% |
| Shares | 155.5M | 152.7M | 145.8M | 142.8M | -8.2% | 143.3M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 2.8B | 2.1B | 2.1B | 2.2B | -7.5% | 2.3B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 5.0B | 5.4B | 5.2B | 5.1B | 0.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 2.2B | 1.7B | 1.7B | 1.2B | -17.0% | 1.8B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -1.1B | -998.7M | -908.2M | -1.0B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -1.1B | -923.7M | -716.5M | -264.1M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Swung more than 60% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 48% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Energy, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of MUR are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| MUR | Murphy Oil Corporation(you) | $6.4B | 76 |
| CRGY | Crescent Energy Company | $5.4B | 75 |
| MGY | Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | $7.2B | 80 |
| CNX | CNX Resources Corporation | $5.4B | 83 |
| MTDR | Matador Resources Company | $7.4B | 86 |
| RRC | Range Resources Corporation | $10.6B | 80 |
| BSM | Black Stone Minerals, L.P. | $3.2B | 83 |
| GPOR | Gulfport Energy Corporation | $2.9B | 67 |
| TALO | Talos Energy Inc. | $3.1B | 66 |
| CHRD | Chord Energy Corporation | $8.6B | 95 |
Peer medians: ROE 10.2% · P/E 14.1x · Gross margin 44.8%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.