CRGY
BuySecond WindAI neutralCrescent Energy Company · Energy · United States · $5.4B cap · $112.8M/day traded
$11.22 +0.7% · close 6 Nov · scored 7 Nov
Second Wind: Cheap with strong momentum, but the business does not earn the optimism.
As of 7 Nov 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) is 75/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 47, Value 54, Momentum 70, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how each tenth of the ranking did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Crescent Energy is a US oil and gas producer built through a series of acquisitions, and it reported record production and raised its full-year production outlook in the second quarter. Forward earnings estimates are up about 9% over a month and the company is buying back stock, both helped by elevated crude prices. It is, however, a commodity producer whose returns track oil and gas prices, with a balance sheet shaped by acquisitions, which makes it a price-driven cyclical rather than a durable compounder.
ABOUT CRESCENT ENERGY COMPANY
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Crescent Energy Company is an independent oil and gas company focused on the acquisition and development of oil and natural gas properties within the Lower 48 states of the United States. Its competitive advantage stems from a disciplined acquisition strategy, efficient operations in established basins, and a focus on generating free cash flow from a diversified and long-lived asset portfolio.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3.1B | 2.4B | 2.9B | 3.6B | 5.4% | 4.3B | 5.1B | 6.2B | 31.7% |
| EPS | 0.32 | 0.28 | -0.88 | 0.55 | 19.6% | 0.11 | 0.75 | 0.89 | 27.4% |
| Shares | 330.3M | 330.3M | 187.1M | 327.9M | -0.7% | 330.4M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 1.3B | 1.8B | 3.1B | 5.7B | 63.1% | 5.2B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 848.1M | 1.7B | 3.1B | 5.2B | 82.5% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 1.0B | 935.8M | 1.2B | 1.7B | 18.4% | 2.0B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -1.1B | -1.4B | -1.2B | -922.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -7.8M | 456.5M | 207.4M | -245.1M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Swung more than 60% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 48% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Energy, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CRGY are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRGY | Crescent Energy Company(you) | $5.4B | 75 | Buy |
| MUR | Murphy Oil Corporation | $6.4B | 76 | Buy |
| CNX | CNX Resources Corporation | $5.4B | 83 | Strong Buy |
| MGY | Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | $7.2B | 80 | Buy |
| MTDR | Matador Resources Company | $7.4B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| RRC | Range Resources Corporation | $10.6B | 80 | Buy |
| BSM | Black Stone Minerals, L.P. | $3.2B | 83 | Strong Buy |
| GPOR | Gulfport Energy Corporation | $2.9B | 67 | Buy |
| TALO | Talos Energy Inc. | $3.1B | 66 | Buy |
| NOG | Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. | $3.0B | 63 | Hold |
Peer medians: ROE 9.8% · P/E 17.0x · Gross margin 43.6%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.