POST

SellBargain Bin

Post Holdings, Inc. · Consumer Defensive · United States · $3.5B cap · $61.6M/day traded

$80.28 +1.1% · close 28 Oct · scored 29 Oct

Bargain Bin: Looks like a bargain; the quality and the trend say why it is in the bin.

34
StockRank
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Quality
34
Value
64
Momentum
26

As of 29 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) is 34/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 34, Value 64, Momentum 26, each scored against its sector).

Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →

P/E (TTM)
13.9x
peers 22.0x
ROE
8.3%
peers 10.0%
D/E
2.5x
peers 0.7x
Dividend %
—
trailing yield

ABOUT POST HOLDINGS, INC.

Read

Post Holdings, Inc. is a diversified consumer packaged goods company, primarily known for its breakfast cereals, but also operates in protein-based foods, snacks, and foodservice. The company boasts a strong brand portfolio with established positions in various consumer food categories, benefiting from extensive distribution networks and brand loyalty. Post Holdings has grown significantly through strategic acquisitions, building a diverse portfolio of well-known food brands.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year2022202320242025CAGRTTM2026E2027EFwd CAGR
Revenue5.9B7.0B7.9B8.2B11.7%8.4B8.2B8.0B-1.3%
EPS12.425.216.125.98-21.6%5.786.335.94-0.4%
Shares58.7M60.4M58.4M52.8M-10.1%44.0M———
Debt6.1B6.2B7.1B7.7B8.1%7.6B———
Equity3.3B3.8B4.1B3.8B4.9%————
Op CF382.6M750.3M931.7M998.3M37.7%992.6M———
Inv CF-221.0M-669.3M-677.5M-1.4B—————
Fin CF-386.7M-555.7M415.6M-188.6M—————
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y) · USD+3.1%
72.574.977.379.682.017 Sep8 Oct28 Oct
SMA 50SMA 200

Price checkFinding a floorExperimental

No new 52-week low for 3 weeks, 12% above that low, but not back above a rising 50-day average.

SwingsAverage

Calmer than 69% of stocks we rank over the past year (32% a year).

How this is worked out

StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.

The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.

In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.

What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.

What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.

Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.

Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.

Close
$80.28
RSI (14)
71.0
52-Week Range-31.5% from high
Low $71.45High $117.28

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
34
ROIC
6.6%30.9
ROE
8.3%46.2
GP/Assets
17.9%27.5
Op. Margin
10.3%63.1
FCF/Assets
4.1%46.9
Piotroski
413.2
Int. Cover
1.9x19.9
D/E Ratio
2.47x4.5
Current Ratio
1.85x59.5
Value
64
P/E (TTM)
13.9x59.4
EV/EBITDA
7.5x64.7
P/FCF
6.4x80.4
P/B
1.2x65.0
P/S
0.4x75.8
Div Yield
—N/A
Momentum
26
52W High %
68%35.2
RS 6M
-30%12.1
SMA 50/200
0.85x13.3
EPS Rev 4W
-0.1%42.8
EPS Rev 12W
-16.1%8.9
EPS Improve
+24%45.8
Q Growth
-42%15.2

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$3.5B
P/E (Forward)
11.2x
Gross Margin
28.8%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of POST are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
POSTPost Holdings, Inc.(you)$3.5B34Sell
FRPTFreshpet, Inc.$3.1B39Hold
UTZUtz Brands, Inc.$2.1B35Hold
CAGConagra Brands, Inc.$7.1B37Hold
PPCPilgrim's Pride Corporation$6.7B41Hold
MZTIThe Marzetti Company$3.0B54Hold
FLOFlowers Foods, Inc.$1.3B41Hold
SMPLThe Simply Good Foods Company$921M33Sell
MKCMcCormick & Company, Incorporated$12.9B36Hold
WESTWestrock Coffee Company$964M31Sell

Peer medians: ROE 10.0% · P/E 22.0x · Gross margin 35.0%

Company Deep Dive

Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.

Request Deep Dive(50 Feathers)

Post Holdings, Inc. (POST): Stock Score Summary

Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) has a MoatMap StockRank of 34/100 based on Quality (34/100), Value (64/100), and Momentum (26/100) factor scores. The current signal is SELL.

Post Holdings, Inc. is a diversified consumer packaged goods company, primarily known for its breakfast cereals, but also operates in protein-based foods, snacks, and foodservice. The company boasts a strong brand portfolio with established positions in various consumer food categories, benefiting from extensive distribution networks and brand loyalty. Post Holdings has grown significantly through strategic acquisitions, building a diverse portfolio of well-known food brands.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$80.28
Market Cap$3.5B
P/E (TTM)13.94
P/E (Forward)11.20
Price/Book1.15
Return on Equity8.3%
Return on Invested Capital6.6%
Debt/Equity2.47x
Gross Margin28.8%
Operating Margin10.3%
Revenue Growth-1.8%
Free Cash Flow$553M

Post Holdings, Inc. operates in the Packaged Foods industry, part of the Consumer Defensive sector (United States).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Post Holdings, Inc.’s (POST) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) is 34/100, with a Sell signal. It is a composite of Quality (34), Value (64), and Momentum (26), each scored against its sector. The composite is then ranked across MoatMap’s universe of 24,000+ stocks.
Does Post Holdings, Inc. have an economic moat?
Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) has a Quality factor score of 34/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Post Holdings, Inc. a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) is Sell, based on a StockRank of 34/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Post Holdings, Inc. in?
Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically the Packaged Foods industry (United States).