ROST
BuyPremium GrowerAI pickRoss Stores, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · United States · $73.6B cap · $473.4M/day traded
$230.09 -1.7% · close 27 Oct · scored 28 Oct
StockRank down 1.3 since 27 Oct.
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
Report expected 19 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has risen 5.2% over the last 14 weeks.
As of 28 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) is 69/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 78, Value 19, Momentum 66, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Ross Stores is the second-largest US off-price retailer, selling branded apparel and home goods at 20-60% below department-store prices through Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS. The model shares its scale with shoppers: buying excess inventory opportunistically lets it undercut rivals, which brings in more customers and more buying power. Recent reporting shows it winning shoppers from other retailers, with another strong quarter and commentary comparing its trajectory to TJX. As food and fuel costs squeeze household budgets, bargain-hunting traffic tends to shift toward off-price, and excess inventory from disrupted supply chains improves the merchandise it can buy. It has high returns on capital, a net-cash-oriented balance sheet funded from internal cash flow, and is repurchasing about 1% of shares per quarter. The main drawback is price: the shares already trade at a premium multiple, so returns depend on continued store growth and margin gains.
ABOUT ROSS STORES, INC.
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Ross Stores, Inc. is a leading off-price retailer operating the "Ross Dress for Less" and "dd's DISCOUNTS" banners, offering branded apparel, accessories, footwear, and home fashions at significant discounts. The company's competitive advantage stems from its robust vendor relationships, which enable opportunistic buying of excess inventory at favorable prices, coupled with an efficient supply chain. Ross Stores effectively caters to value-conscious consumers, securing a dominant position in the off-price retail segment.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 18.9B | 18.7B | 20.4B | 21.1B | 22.8B | 4.7% | 24.5B | 25.7B | 27.4B | 9.8% |
| EPS | — | 4.40 | 5.59 | 6.36 | 6.66 | 14.8% | 8.27 | 8.83 | 8.97 | 16.1% |
| Shares | — | 342.8M | 335.2M | 328.8M | 322.3M | -6.0% | 320.8M | — | — | — |
| Debt | — | 5.7B | 5.7B | 5.7B | 5.2B | -3.0% | 4.7B | — | — | — |
| Equity | — | 4.3B | 4.9B | 5.5B | 6.2B | 13.0% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | — | 1.7B | 2.5B | 2.4B | 3.0B | 21.5% | 3.7B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | — | -654.1M | -762.8M | -637.5M | -819.3M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | — | -1.4B | -1.4B | -1.9B | -2.3B | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 10% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 80% of stocks we rank over the past year (26% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of ROST are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | Ross Stores, Inc.(you) | $73.6B | 69 | Buy |
| 6288.HK | Fast Retailing Co., Ltd. | $148.6B | 72 | Buy |
| ITX.MC | Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A. | $198.0B | 71 | Buy |
| TJX | The TJX Companies, Inc. | $159.6B | 50 | Hold |
| NXT.L | NEXT plc | $22.7B | 88 | Strong Buy |
| LULU | lululemon athletica inc. | $11.5B | 62 | Hold |
| ATZ.TO | Aritzia Inc. | $10.6B | 75 | Buy |
| VSXY | Victorias Secret & Co. | $7.2B | 75 | Buy |
| GAP | The Gap, Inc. | $7.8B | 82 | Strong Buy |
| TRENT.NS | Trent Limited | $15.3B | 38 | Hold |
Peer medians: ROE 8.1% · P/E 16.5x · Gross margin 31.0%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.