GAP
Strong BuyUnloved QualityAI neutralThe Gap, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · United States · $7.8B cap · $124.1M/day traded
$21.70 -2.5% · close 27 Oct · scored 28 Oct
Unloved Quality: Strong and cheap; the market has not turned yet.
Report expected 19 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has been little changed over the last 14 weeks.
As of 28 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for The Gap, Inc. (GAP) is 82/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 67, Value 69, Momentum 44, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Gap Inc. owns Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic and Athleta, and its turnaround has improved margins, with consensus estimates up 2.7% in the past month. Its new entertainment-led marketing is unproven. The group is a mid-market apparel retailer sourcing heavily from Asia, facing tariffs and higher freight costs, and its customers are exposed to squeezed budgets.
ABOUT THE GAP, INC.
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The Gap, Inc. is a global apparel retail company operating a portfolio of iconic brands including Gap, Old Navy, Banana Republic, and Athleta. The company benefits from widespread brand recognition and a significant retail presence across online and physical channels, allowing it to cater to diverse customer segments. This multi-brand strategy provides a competitive edge in the highly dynamic consumer cyclical sector.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 16.7B | 15.6B | 14.9B | 15.1B | 15.4B | -2.0% | 15.3B | 15.5B | 16.0B | 2.0% |
| EPS | 0.68 | -0.55 | 1.36 | 2.24 | 2.19 | 34.0% | 3.32 | 2.46 | 2.69 | 10.9% |
| Shares | 371.0M | 366.0M | 372.0M | 374.0M | 371.9M | +0.2% | 351.3M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 6.3B | 6.0B | 5.4B | 5.5B | 5.6B | -2.7% | 5.7B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 2.7B | 2.2B | 2.6B | 3.3B | 3.8B | 8.7% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 809.0M | 607.0M | 1.5B | 1.5B | 1.3B | 12.4% | 1.5B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -446.0M | -227.0M | -334.0M | -692.0M | -600.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -1.5B | 6.0M | -567.0M | -321.0M | -419.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
22% above its 52-week low and back above a rising 50-day average.
The Momentum score still reads 44: it weighs six months of price and earnings revisions, so it trails a turn like this.
Swung more than 57% of stocks we rank over the past year (46% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of GAP are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAP | The Gap, Inc.(you) | $7.8B | 82 | Strong Buy |
| VSXY | Victorias Secret & Co. | $7.2B | 75 | Buy |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters, Inc. | $7.4B | 91 | Strong Buy |
| ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch Co. | $6.6B | 96 | Strong Buy |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | $3.0B | 82 | Strong Buy |
| BKE | The Buckle, Inc. | $2.4B | 74 | Buy |
| CRI | Carter's, Inc. | $1.2B | 71 | Buy |
| CAL | Caleres, Inc. | $447M | 82 | Strong Buy |
| ROST | Ross Stores, Inc. | $73.6B | 69 | Buy |
| BOOT | Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. | $3.5B | 38 | Hold |
Peer medians: ROE 8.5% · P/E 19.9x · Gross margin 37.3%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.