Also trades as TGA.L.
TGA.JO
Second WindThungela Resources Limited · Energy · South Africa · $1.2B cap · $5.9M/day traded
12,082.00c +0.8% · close 12 Nov · scored 13 Nov
Score up 2.2 since 12 Nov: Momentum up 3.
Second Wind: Cheap with strong momentum, but the business does not earn the optimism.
As of 13 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Thungela Resources Limited (TGA.JO) is 71/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 43, Value 58, Momentum 66, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT THUNGELA RESOURCES LIMITED
Read
Thungela Resources Limited engages in the mining and production of thermal coal in South Africa and Australia.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (ZAR)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 50.8B | 30.6B | 35.6B | 29.6B | -16.5% | 30.1B | 32.4B | 32.5B | 4.9% |
| EPS (ZAc) | 12,708 | 3,766 | 2,676 | -5,464 | -54.1% | -4,603 | — | — | — |
| Shares | 137.5M | 136.9M | 133.6M | 126.8M | -7.8% | 127.1M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 153.0M | 132.0M | 50.0M | 86.0M | -17.5% | 77.5M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 26.3B | 24.6B | 25.6B | 16.0B | -15.2% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 19.8B | 8.5B | 5.3B | 2.4B | -50.7% | 3.8B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -2.8B | -5.8B | -3.9B | -3.3B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -10.8B | -7.2B | -2.4B | -2.6B | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Swung more than 76% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 62% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling: It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor: It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend: It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend (this stock): None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Energy, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of TGA.JO are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| TGA.JO | Thungela Resources Limited(you) | $1.2B | 71 |
| EXX.JO | Exxaro Resources Limited | $2.6B | 81 |
Peer medians: ROE 12.4% · P/E 6.3x · Gross margin 58.5%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.