UPBD
Strong BuyFull HouseAI neutralUpbound Group, Inc. · Technology · United States · $932M cap · $15.5M/day traded
$15.40 +0.0% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
Read our full research report on UPBD (Jul 2026), freeReport expected 29 Oct: the next-year EPS estimate has fallen 2.9% over the last 13 weeks.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Upbound Group, Inc. (UPBD) is 97/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 63, Value 93, Momentum 51, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Upbound Group trades at deeply discounted valuation multiples supported by resilient omni-channel lease-to-own demand. Nevertheless, price momentum remains unexceptional, and net officer selling in recent filings offsets minor insider purchases.
ABOUT UPBOUND GROUP, INC.
Read
Upbound Group, Inc. operates as a technology-driven platform offering lease-to-own solutions for furniture, electronics, and appliances through brands like Rent-A-Center and Acima. The company's competitive moat is derived from its extensive brick-and-mortar presence, which provides convenient access for customers, combined with its innovative proprietary technology platform for digital lease-to-own financing. Upbound Group primarily serves credit-constrained consumers, offering flexible payment options and access to essential household goods.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4.2B | 4.0B | 4.3B | 4.7B | 3.4% | 4.7B | 4.7B | 4.9B | 2.4% |
| EPS | 0.23 | -0.09 | 2.26 | 1.30 | 78.1% | 1.54 | 1.31 | 1.45 | 5.8% |
| Shares | 55.7M | 54.4M | 54.7M | 57.9M | +4.1% | 58.3M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 1.7B | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 3.5% | 1.7B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 525.1M | 560.4M | 629.0M | 695.7M | 9.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 468.5M | 200.3M | 104.7M | 305.6M | -13.3% | 425.5M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -62.3M | -51.0M | -41.5M | -403.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -370.7M | -202.1M | -93.5M | 156.5M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Swung more than 53% of stocks we rank over the past year (43% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Technology, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of UPBD are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPBD | Upbound Group, Inc.(you) | $932M | 97 | Strong Buy |
| MNTN | MNTN, Inc. | $790M | 90 | Strong Buy |
| PD | PagerDuty, Inc. | $1.2B | 89 | Strong Buy |
| 74SW.PA | 74Software | $1.2B | 90 | Strong Buy |
| RDVT | Red Violet, Inc. | $1.2B | 87 | Strong Buy |
| DFIN | Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. | $1.2B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| MITK | Mitek Systems, Inc. | $798M | 83 | Strong Buy |
| DSP | Viant Technology Inc. | $818M | 82 | Strong Buy |
| BLKB | Blackbaud, Inc. | $1.9B | 84 | Strong Buy |
| IBTA | Ibotta, Inc. | $957M | 69 | Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 7.5% · P/E 35.8x · Gross margin 53.1%
Company Deep Dive
Read the full research report: business segments breakdown, earnings transcripts review, management credibility analysis, competitive landscape, and scenarios.