VGP.BR

SellFallen Favourite

VGP NV · Real Estate · Belgium · $2.4B · Avg Vol: $3M/d

Fallen Favourite: A good business that is expensive and falling. Wait for the price to catch up.

21
StockRank
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Quality
53
Value
35
Momentum
16
P/E (TTM)
8.6x
peers 8.6x
ROE
8.6%
peers 8.3%
D/E
0.9x
peers 0.8x
Dividend %
4.7%
trailing yield

ABOUT VGP NV

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VGP NV is a leading European developer, manager, and owner of high-quality logistics and semi-industrial real estate. The company operates a highly successful, capital-light business model through long-term joint ventures with Allianz Real Estate, which allows it to recycle capital rapidly. Its competitive advantage is driven by a strategic, high-value land bank located near major European transport hubs and a strong track record of build-to-suit developments for blue-chip tenants.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (EUR)

Year2022202320242025CAGRTTM2026E2027EFwd CAGR
Revenue88.3M120.2M125.5M174.9M25.6%210.3M187.2M203.6M7.9%
EPS (EUR)-5.493.2010.5210.6482.3%8.354.464.99-31.5%
Shares27.3M27.3M27.3M27.3M0.0%30.3M———
Debt2.4B2.0B2.1B2.4B-0.2%2.7B———
Equity2.2B2.2B2.4B2.6B5.7%————
Op CF-70.6M-27.3M33.0M50.9M54.3%26.7M———
Inv CF-566.1M-8.1M331.4M-171.3M—————
Fin CF1.1B-450.1M-90.9M151.5M—————
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y)-13.0%
79.5883.3487.1190.8794.6312 Aug3 Sep24 Sep
SMA 50SMA 200

Close
$79.58
RSI (14)
13.2
52W High
$122.00
From 52W High
-34.8%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
53
ROIC
8.1%72.6
ROE
8.6%65.9
GP/Assets
3.9%27.5
Op. Margin
77.1%92.8
FCF/Assets
0.6%25.5
Piotroski
661.0
Int. Cover
7.4x65.5
D/E Ratio
0.92x40.3
Current Ratio
1.91x65.1
Value
35
P/E (TTM)
8.6x71.7
EV/EBITDA
27.4x18.8
P/FCF
68.7x7.2
P/B
0.8x59.4
P/S
10.4x11.3
Div Yield
4.7%45.6
Momentum
16
52W High %
65%19.8
RS 6M
-25%23.9
SMA 50/200
0.91x18.8
EPS Rev 4W
-17.5%3.1
EPS Rev 12W
-21.3%6.8
EPS Improve
-51%11.2
Q Growth
-34%18.6

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$2.4B
P/E (Forward)
17.5x
Gross Margin
98.4%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of VGP.BR are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
VGP.BRVGP NV(you)$2.4B21Sell
INCLU.BRInclusio SA$146M54Hold
TEXF.BRTexaf S.A.$154M55Hold
XIOR.BRXior Student Housing NV$1.3B42Hold
MONT.BRMontea Comm. VA$1.7B50Hold
WDP.BRWarehouses De Pauw SA$5.7B49Hold
AED.BRAedifica NV/SA$6.2B62Hold
CPINV.BRCare Property Invest NV$593M61Hold
HOMI.BRHome Invest Belgium S.A.$401M64Hold
ATEB.BRAtenor SA$73M11Strong Sell

Peer medians: ROE 8.3% · P/E 8.6x · Gross margin 83.9%

Company Deep Dive

Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.

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VGP NV (VGP.BR): Stock Score Summary

VGP NV (VGP.BR) has a MoatMap StockRank of 21/100 based on Quality (53/100), Value (35/100), and Momentum (16/100) factor scores. The current signal is SELL.

VGP NV is a leading European developer, manager, and owner of high-quality logistics and semi-industrial real estate. The company operates a highly successful, capital-light business model through long-term joint ventures with Allianz Real Estate, which allows it to recycle capital rapidly. Its competitive advantage is driven by a strategic, high-value land bank located near major European transport hubs and a strong track record of build-to-suit developments for blue-chip tenants.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$79.58
Market Cap$2.4B
P/E (TTM)8.65
P/E (Forward)17.48
Price/Book0.75
Return on Equity8.6%
Return on Invested Capital8.1%
Debt/Equity0.92x
Gross Margin98.4%
Operating Margin77.1%
Revenue Growth16.0%
Dividend Yield4.7%
Free Cash Flow$35M

VGP NV operates in the Real Estate Services industry, part of the Real Estate sector (Belgium).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is VGP NV’s (VGP.BR) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for VGP NV (VGP.BR) is 21/100, with a Sell signal. It is a composite of Quality (53), Value (35), and Momentum (16) factor ranks across MoatMap’s universe of 25,000+ stocks.
Does VGP NV have an economic moat?
VGP NV (VGP.BR) has a Quality factor score of 53/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is VGP NV a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for VGP NV (VGP.BR) is Sell, based on a StockRank of 21/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is VGP NV in?
VGP NV (VGP.BR) operates in the Real Estate sector, specifically the Real Estate Services industry (Belgium).