AEG
BuySecond WindAI neutralAegon Ltd. · Financial Services · Netherlands · $12.9B cap · $51.6M/day traded
$8.10 -1.3% · close 23 Oct · scored 24 Oct
StockRank down 1.6 since 23 Oct.
Second Wind: Cheap and rising again, but the business does not yet earn the optimism.
As of 24 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Aegon Ltd. (AEG) is 67/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 41, Value 61, Momentum 60, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Aegon is a life insurer and asset manager whose largest business is Transamerica in the US, alongside the UK and Asian operations, and it is shifting its domicile to the US. Higher yields improve reinvestment income and capital generation, and the company returns cash through buybacks and dividends. Dutch commentary notes investor patience is being tested, the US variable annuity and long-term-care legacy books remain complex, and the business lacks the capital-light profile of a quality compounder.
ABOUT AEGON LTD.
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Aegon Ltd. is a multinational financial services joint-stock company specializing in life insurance, pensions, and asset management. The company's competitive moat is its strong global brand, extensive distribution networks, and a strategic focus on high-growth markets, particularly in the US through its Transamerica subsidiary. It operates as a leading, diversified global insurer with a robust capital position.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | -24.3B | 22.5B | 21.9B | 30.1B | 15.7% | 13.1B | 30.5B | 31.1B | 1.6% |
| EPS | 1.05 | -0.90 | -0.13 | 0.41 | 0.69 | -10.2% | 0.69 | 0.98 | 1.05 | 23.7% |
| Shares | — | 2.0B | 1.8B | 1.6B | 1.5B | -23.4% | 1.5B | — | — | — |
| Debt | — | 7.5B | 5.5B | 5.6B | 4.2B | -17.6% | 4.3B | — | — | — |
| Equity | — | 12.1B | 10.6B | 10.3B | 10.5B | -4.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | — | 3.0B | 968.4M | 854.1M | 486.4M | -45.4% | 2.0B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | — | 821.6M | -2.2B | 336.2M | 1.1B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | — | -2.1B | -3.6B | -2.0B | -2.3B | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 13% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 84% of stocks we rank over the past year (24% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Financial Services, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of AEG are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEG | Aegon Ltd.(you) | $12.9B | 67 | Buy |
| ASRNL.AS | ASR Nederland N.V. | $16.6B | 81 | Strong Buy |
| NN.AS | NN Group N.V. | $23.4B | 75 | Buy |
| ENX.PA | Euronext N.V. | $15.9B | 58 | Hold |
| HAL.AS | HAL Trust | $17.0B | 76 | Buy |
| ABN.AS | ABN AMRO Bank N.V. | $40.4B | 67 | Buy |
| VLK.AS | Van Lanschot Kempen NV | $3.3B | 53 | Hold |
| ING | ING Groep N.V. | $102.3B | 65 | Buy |
| TRIO.AS | Triodos Bank N.V. | $576M | 67 | Buy |
| EXO.AS | Exor N.V. | $27.3B | 19 | Strong Sell |
Peer medians: ROE 12.2% · P/E 12.8x · Gross margin 80.4%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.