CTO
Premium GrowerCTO Realty Growth, Inc. · Real Estate · United States · $741M cap · $7.2M/day traded
$20.43 +0.1% · close 11 Nov · scored 11 Nov
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
As of 11 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO) is 60/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 57, Value 48, Momentum 51, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT CTO REALTY GROWTH, INC.
Read
CTO Realty Growth is a diversified real estate investment trust that owns and operates high-quality, retail-preferred properties in high-growth metropolitan areas across the Southern United States. The company actively manages its portfolio by recycling capital from legacy land holdings and single-tenant assets into multi-tenant retail centers. Its strategic focus on markets with strong demographic tailwinds and job growth drives robust rental growth and occupancy rates.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 82.3M | 109.1M | 124.5M | 149.5M | 22.0% | 170.3M | 180.3M | 202.9M | 16.5% |
| EPS | -0.09 | 0.03 | -0.35 | 0.08 | 63.3% | 1.12 | 0.71 | 0.62 | 178.4% |
| Shares | 22.9M | 22.6M | 31.7M | 32.4M | +41.6% | 38.8M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 445.6M | 495.8M | 519.3M | 616.6M | 11.4% | 717.8M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 504.8M | 457.5M | 612.8M | 567.3M | 4.0% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 56.1M | 46.3M | 59.9M | 64.6M | 4.8% | 65.5M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -267.6M | -52.5M | -232.7M | -71.5M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 201.4M | 2.8M | 172.3M | 30.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 9% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 93% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 19% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CTO are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth, Inc.(you) | $741M | 60 |
| AHRT | AH REALTY TRUST INC | $585M | 67 |
| FVR | FrontView REIT, Inc. | $536M | 49 |
| OLP | One Liberty Properties, Inc. | $489M | 50 |
| AAT | American Assets Trust, Inc. | $1.7B | 54 |
| GOOD | Gladstone Commercial Corporation | $586M | 41 |
| SAFE | Safehold Inc. | $795M | 32 |
| GNL | Global Net Lease, Inc. | $1.7B | 43 |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. | $1.5B | 41 |
| JBGS | JBG SMITH Properties | $894M | 28 |
Peer medians: ROE 4.2% · P/E 24.0x · Gross margin 65.4%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.