Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.
ETSY
Strong BuyPremium GrowerFLAGEtsy, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · United States · $7.7B · Avg Vol: $229M/d
Etsy has strong quality Q79 and momentum M74 with a buyback retiring 2.81% of shares, but value at V30 is well below the calibrated floor, so stage one fails. Insider selling of 0.73% and a 1.4% earnings cut are separately adverse.
COMPANY DESCRIPTION
Etsy, Inc. operates a global online marketplace connecting buyers directly with sellers of unique and creative goods, including handmade items, vintage products, and craft supplies. It is the established niche market leader for handcrafted and vintage items, benefiting from strong network effects among its vast community of buyers and sellers. The platform is distinguished by its focus on creative entrepreneurship, offering a differentiated shopping experience from mass-market e-commerce.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 2.6B | 2.7B | 2.8B | 2.9B | 4.0% | 2.9B | 2.8B | 3.0B | 1.6% |
| EPS | 3.88 | -5.48 | 2.51 | 2.64 | 1.59 | -20.0% | 3.16 | 3.35 | 4.49 | 68.0% |
| Shares | — | 125.1M | 119.1M | 108.5M | 97.0M | -22.4% | 91.8M | — | — | — |
| Debt | — | 2.4B | 2.4B | 2.4B | 3.1B | 8.8% | 3.1B | — | — | — |
| Equity | — | -547.3M | -543.7M | -758.9M | -1.1B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | — | 683.6M | 705.5M | 752.5M | 693.4M | 0.5% | 657.4M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | — | -30.0M | -73.3M | -53.1M | 32.1M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | — | -506.5M | -656.5M | -787.2M | -169.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of ETSY are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETSY | Etsy, Inc.(you) | $7.7B | 88 | Strong Buy |
| CART | Maplebear Inc. | $11.7B | 90 | Strong Buy |
| LQDT | Liquidity Services, Inc. | $1.3B | 92 | Strong Buy |
| CHWY | Chewy, Inc. | $9.5B | 40 | Hold |
| W | Wayfair Inc. | $14.2B | 45 | Hold |
| EBAY | eBay Inc. | $47.0B | 65 | Buy |
| RVLV | Revolve Group, Inc. | $1.6B | 54 | Hold |
| DASH | DoorDash, Inc. | $102.6B | 41 | Hold |
| GAP | The Gap, Inc. | $8.5B | 84 | Strong Buy |
| MHK | Mohawk Industries, Inc. | $8.8B | 84 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 8.4% · P/E 19.7x · Gross margin 36.5%